Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 548 archive drawings (2026-03-06 → 2026-09-04) using only prior data — no lookahead. ⚡ High-Frequency Recent Form: 6 Months [Filtering only Evening drawings] Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
1 families every drawing across
548 drawings accumulates
183 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | 1.0 | 183 | 183 | 2 | 1.09% | $45.75 | $75 | $29.25 | 63.9% | $-16.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Night Only) 🏆 #1 ROI (+229.7%) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 3 Portfolio) | 1.0 | 183 | 185 | 2 | 1.08% | $46.25 | $75 | $28.75 | 62.2% | $-16.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | 1.0 | 183 | 187 | 2 | 1.07% | $46.75 | $75 | $28.25 | 60.4% | $-16.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | 8.0 | 183 | 1,464 | 6 | 0.41% | $366 | $300 | $-66 | -18.0% | $-71.5 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | 1.0 | 183 | 183 | 0 | 0.00% | $45.75 | $0 | $-45.75 | -100.0% | $-45.75 |
| Followed-By Book Chain (10-Draw Chase) | 1.0 | 183 | 183 | 3 | 1.64% | $45.75 | $112.5 | $66.75 | 145.9% | $-16.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | 1.4 | 183 | 265 | 4 | 1.51% | $66.25 | $150 | $83.75 | 126.4% | $-11 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 2.3 | 183 | 413 | 5 | 1.21% | $103.25 | $187.5 | $84.25 | 81.6% | $-18 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Midday Slot Pipeline | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 9.0 | 183 | 1,645 | 7 | 0.43% | $411.25 | $262.5 | $-148.75 | -36.2% | $-171.5 |
| Fixed Five Families | 5.0 | 183 | 915 | 8 | 0.87% | $228.75 | $300 | $71.25 | 31.1% | $-37.5 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | 137.0 | 183 | 25,071 | 146 | 0.58% | $6,267.75 | $6,337.5 | $69.75 | 1.1% | $-103 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | 40.0 | 183 | 7,320 | 33 | 0.45% | $1,830 | $2,475 | $645 | 35.3% | $-160 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | 51.0 | 183 | 9,333 | 27 | 0.29% | $2,333.25 | $2,025 | $-308.25 | -13.2% | $-666.75 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | 10.0 | 183 | 1,830 | 5 | 0.27% | $457.5 | $375 | $-82.5 | -18.0% | $-217.5 |
| Followed-By Chain (book) | 1.8 | 183 | 326 | 1 | 0.31% | $81.5 | $37.5 | $-44 | -54.0% | $-53 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.9 | 183 | 1,450 | 4 | 0.28% | $362.5 | $225 | $-137.5 | -37.9% | $-137.5 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 1.0 | 183 | 187 | 1 | 0.53% | $46.75 | $37.5 | $-9.25 | -19.8% | $-22.75 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 10.0 | 183 | 1,830 | 9 | 0.49% | $457.5 | $337.5 | $-120 | -26.2% | $-120 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | 10.0 | 183 | 1,830 | 4 | 0.22% | $457.5 | $412.5 | $-45 | -9.8% | $-205 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 18.0 | 183 | 3,294 | 7 | 0.21% | $823.5 | $525 | $-298.5 | -36.3% | $-391.5 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | 10.0 | 183 | 1,830 | 1 | 0.05% | $457.5 | $225 | $-232.5 | -50.8% | $-317.5 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | 10.0 | 183 | 1,830 | 5 | 0.27% | $457.5 | $225 | $-232.5 | -50.8% | $-232.5 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | 10.0 | 183 | 1,830 | 5 | 0.27% | $457.5 | $300 | $-157.5 | -34.4% | $-185 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 10.0 | 183 | 1,830 | 14 | 0.77% | $457.5 | $600 | $142.5 | 31.1% | $-90 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 18.0 | 183 | 3,294 | 8 | 0.24% | $823.5 | $600 | $-223.5 | -27.1% | $-316.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | 18.0 | 183 | 3,294 | 15 | 0.46% | $823.5 | $787.5 | $-36 | -4.4% | $-79.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 10.0 | 183 | 1,830 | 7 | 0.38% | $457.5 | $375 | $-82.5 | -18.0% | $-205 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 10.0 | 183 | 1,830 | 5 | 0.27% | $457.5 | $225 | $-232.5 | -50.8% | $-317.5 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 5.0 | 183 | 915 | 4 | 0.44% | $228.75 | $150 | $-78.75 | -34.4% | $-78.75 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | 120.0 | 183 | 21,960 | 129 | 0.59% | $5,490 | $4,837.5 | $-652.5 | -11.9% | $-727.5 |
| Consensus Panel | 5.0 | 183 | 915 | 7 | 0.77% | $228.75 | $262.5 | $33.75 | 14.8% | $-6.25 |
| Night Doubles Machine [profit·double·8·Night] | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | $0 | $0 | $0 | 0.0% | $0 |
Window summary.
11 of 34 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Followed-By Book Chain (10-Draw Chase) (+145.9% ROI, net +$66.75)
Top Net Dollars: Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) +$645.00 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$142.50 · Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline +$84.25
Top Net Dollars: Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) +$645.00 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$142.50 · Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline +$84.25
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$4 | +$40 | +$102 | +$206 | +$334 | +$232 | +$530 | 8/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · Top 1) | -$1 | +$59 | +$36 | -$10 | -$26 | +$70 | +$440 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | -$2 | +$53 | +$95 | +$143 | +$168 | +$78 | +$170 | 6/12 |
| Followed-By Chain (book) | -$2 | +$9 | -$33 | -$39 | +$21 | -$71 | +$23 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Night Only) | — | — | — | — | — | — | +$0 | 0/0 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Midday Slot Pipeline | — | — | — | — | — | — | +$0 | 0/0 |
| Night Doubles Machine [profit·double·8·Night] | — | — | — | — | — | — | +$0 | 0/0 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | -$1 | -$17 | -$2 | -$47 | -$101 | -$118 | -$24 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$1 | -$17 | -$2 | -$47 | -$101 | -$118 | -$28 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$1 | -$17 | -$2 | -$47 | -$101 | -$118 | -$32 | 1/12 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$1 | -$17 | -$2 | -$10 | -$26 | -$80 | -$88 | 2/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$10 | -$15 | +$20 | +$128 | +$340 | +$213 | -$103 | 6/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$10 | -$128 | -$318 | -$323 | -$185 | +$25 | -$178 | 2/12 |
| Followed-By Book Chain (10-Draw Chase) | -$1 | -$17 | -$39 | -$85 | -$101 | -$118 | -$198 | 0/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$10 | -$90 | -$168 | -$210 | +$78 | +$25 | -$290 | 3/12 |
| Fixed Five Families | -$5 | +$30 | +$66 | +$176 | +$170 | +$238 | -$389 | 5/12 |
| Consensus Panel | -$5 | +$30 | +$29 | +$64 | +$170 | +$50 | -$389 | 3/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$5 | -$8 | -$46 | -$86 | +$133 | -$63 | -$614 | 2/12 |
| Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation) | -$10 | -$90 | -$205 | -$210 | -$298 | -$388 | -$665 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Overdue (top 10) | +$28 | +$23 | -$130 | -$98 | -$35 | +$63 | -$890 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine (10-Draw Chase · All Candidates) | -$8 | -$20 | -$89 | -$176 | -$81 | -$325 | -$902 | 4/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$9 | -$147 | -$161 | -$77 | -$376 | -$456 | -$1,022 | 5/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$8 | -$93 | -$86 | -$291 | -$184 | -$564 | -$1,199 | 2/12 |
| 789 Top 10 (of the 51) | -$10 | +$135 | -$18 | -$98 | -$35 | +$475 | -$1,453 | 2/12 |
| Cold/Due Families (bottom 10) | -$10 | -$53 | +$20 | +$90 | -$110 | -$350 | -$1,678 | 3/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$10 | -$15 | -$93 | -$210 | -$185 | -$425 | -$2,240 | 3/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$18 | +$78 | -$107 | -$401 | -$168 | +$510 | -$2,360 | 3/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$18 | +$78 | -$182 | -$476 | -$693 | -$315 | -$2,510 | 4/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 2y window) | -$18 | -$72 | +$44 | -$176 | -$131 | -$465 | -$2,735 | 4/12 |
| Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) | -$10 | -$165 | -$168 | -$398 | +$40 | -$425 | -$3,478 | 2/12 |
| 789 Portfolio (51 fixed) | -$51 | +$359 | -$127 | -$722 | -$951 | -$743 | -$6,485 | 3/12 |
| Fixed 40 Doubles (Frozen 2026 List) | -$40 | +$465 | +$605 | +$135 | -$515 | -$1,025 | -$6,710 | 6/12 |
| Baseline: All 120 Distinct Boxes | +$30 | -$518 | -$698 | -$1,095 | -$2,070 | -$3,600 | -$17,880 | 5/12 |
| Fixed 137 (Frozen 2025-26 List) | -$25 | -$11 | +$173 | +$164 | -$300 | -$1,923 | -$18,654 | 6/12 |