Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 3 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 3,057 total plays 2.8 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Portfolio chase: plays the top 3 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a hit occurs (+9.6% 1Y ROI).

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening 🌙 Night

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Portfolio chase: plays the top 3 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a hit occurs (+9.6% 1Y ROI).

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 2.8 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.70 (2.8 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026

⚡ ACTIVE CHASE CYCLE Draw 10 of 10

⚠️ FINAL DRAW ATTEMPT (Step 10/10)

Chase Cycle Progress Rail 10 / 10 Steps Completed or Active

1 ✓ Past

2 ✓ Past

3 ✓ Past

4 ✓ Past

5 ✓ Past

6 ✓ Past

7 ✓ Past

8 ✓ Past

9 ✓ Past

10 ▶ ACTIVE

Trigger Drawing

#318

Night (2026-09-02)

Cumulative Stake Invested

$7.50

$0.75/draw × 10 draws

Payout if Hit Now

$37.50

Stops immediately on hit

Net Profit if Hit Now

+$30.00

Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this chase cycle:

367 distinct 258 distinct 235 distinct

Family	Type	Current Status	Selection Reason
367	distinct	Draw 10 of 10	followed number 087 1/11x within 10 draws · followed family 078 5/68x within 10 draws · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 318)
258	distinct	Draw 10 of 10	followed number 087 1/11x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 852 · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 318)
235	distinct	Draw 10 of 10	followed number 087 5/11x within 10 draws · followed family 078 7/68x within 10 draws · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 318)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,098 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-475 (-4.8% ROI across 13,856 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$14.25

Return on Investment -1.9%

Hit Rate 0.62%

Max Drawdown -$-177

Active Drawings 1,098

Total Plays Placed 3,057

Total Winning Hits 19

Gross Revenue $750

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

18 hits

+$675

double 2x Double ($75.00)

1 hits

+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $764.25

Total Payout (Gross) $750

Net Profit / Loss -$14.25

Final Bankroll $485.75

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-177.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-265.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$10.5 -100.0% ROI	+$0 0.0% ROI	+$20.25 5.7% ROI	-$14.25 -1.9% ROI	-$10.5 -0.7% ROI	-$159 -6.6% ROI	-$474.75 -4.8% ROI	5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2010	$161.5	$150	-$11.5	4	-7.1%
2011	$360	$150	-$210	4	-58.3%
2012	$462.25	$487.5	+$25.25	13	5.5%
2013	$523.75	$487.5	-$36.25	13	-6.9%
2014	$540	$412.5	-$127.5	10	-23.6%
2015	$546	$225	-$321	6	-58.8%
2016	$549	$300	-$249	8	-45.4%
2017	$547.5	$750	+$202.5	18	37.0%
2018	$547.5	$637.5	+$90	16	16.4%
2019	$547.5	$600	+$52.5	15	9.6%
2020	$549	$600	+$51	15	9.3%
2021	$821.25	$937.5	+$116.25	24	14.2%
2022	$821.25	$900	+$78.75	23	9.6%
2023	$821.25	$787.5	-$33.75	20	-4.1%
2024	$823.5	$787.5	-$36	20	-4.4%
2025	$821.25	$712.5	-$108.75	19	-13.2%
2026	$557.25	$600	+$42.75	15	7.7%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $43

25-11 $-68

25-12 $-32

26-01 $80

26-02 $-63

26-03 $5

26-04 $-30

26-05 $-70

26-06 $120

26-07 $-32

26-08 $43

26-09 $-11

🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)

19 Documented Hits in Backtest

Distribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Hit

Draw 5.6

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

36.8%

7 of 19 hits

Peak Hit Draw

Draw 3

4 hits landed here

Stop-on-Hit Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon hit

Draw 1 1 hits (5.3%)

Draw 2 2 hits (10.5%)

Draw 3 ★ 4 hits (21.1%)

Draw 4 0 hits (0.0%)

Draw 5 3 hits (15.8%)

Draw 6 2 hits (10.5%)

Draw 7 1 hits (5.3%)

Draw 8 1 hits (5.3%)

Draw 9 3 hits (15.8%)

Draw 10 2 hits (10.5%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

379 2 hits 024 1 hits 029 1 hits 034 1 hits 036 1 hits 049 1 hits 118 1 hits 128 1 hits 168 1 hits 239 1 hits 245 1 hits 247 1 hits 259 1 hits 348 1 hits 456 1 hits 468 1 hits 678 1 hits 789 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 19)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-30	Midday	420	024	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 397 2/16x within 10 draws · followed family 379 6/98x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 397)
2026-08-27	Midday	397	379	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 222 2/8x within 10 draws · followed number 002 4/13x within 10 draws · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 222)
2026-08-02	Night	821	128	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 037 1/18x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 037 -> 281 · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 037)
2026-07-19	Evening	427	247	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 792 1/17x within 10 draws · followed family 279 15/93x within 10 draws · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 792)
2026-06-29	Midday	295	259	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 040 2/13x within 10 draws · followed family 004 4/30x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 040)
2026-06-25	Midday	425	245	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 288 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 288 4/36x within 10 draws · Chase Step 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 288)
2026-06-20	Midday	092	029	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 011 1/9x within 10 draws · followed family 011 3/33x within 10 draws · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 011)
2026-06-10	Midday	546	456	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 304 5/13x within 10 draws · followed family 034 13/72x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 304)
2026-06-03	Night	876	678	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 321 1/14x within 10 draws · followed family 123 8/83x within 10 draws · Chase Step 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 321)
2026-04-18	Night	490	049	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 999 3/11x within 10 draws · followed family 999 3/11x within 10 draws · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 999)
2026-03-22	Midday	168	168	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 973 5/18x within 10 draws · followed family 379 12/94x within 10 draws · Chase Step 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 973)
2026-03-20	Evening	973	379	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 284 2/17x within 10 draws · followed family 248 6/93x within 10 draws · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 284)
2026-01-23	Midday	486	468	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 470 3/10x within 10 draws · followed family 047 8/92x within 10 draws · Chase Step 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 470)
2026-01-14	Evening	978	789	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 997 3/18x within 10 draws · followed family 799 6/61x within 10 draws · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 997)
2026-01-03	Night	118	118	double 2x Double	+$75.00	Pro-Zo relative: 811 · followed number 546 2/21x within 10 draws · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 172)
2025-12-07	Midday	034	034	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 216 1/15x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 216 -> 304 · Chase Step 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 216)
2025-10-29	Evening	239	239	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 573 3/20x within 10 draws · followed family 357 9/97x within 10 draws · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 573)
2025-10-22	Night	360	036	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 672 1/12x within 10 draws · followed family 267 7/67x within 10 draws · Chase Step 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 672)
2025-10-07	Night	348	348	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 687 4/14x within 10 draws · followed family 678 14/83x within 10 draws · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 687)