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Arkansas AR Cash 3: Followed-By (empirical top 5) hit 178 (+$38)!

Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,802 total plays 1.0 families/draw

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m
Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening 🌙 Night

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 1.0 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.25 (1.0 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/07/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#992
Night (2026-09-03)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

027 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
027 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 2 drawn in sets: 2&6, 5&2, 7&2 (from 672 Evening 2026-09-03) · 7 pairs frequently with 5, 2, 0, 1 (from 672 Evening 2026-09-03) [RB9 Root 9 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 992)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 97.6%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 256 -48.8% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 2 1 50.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.40% 0.39% -0.01%
Capital Invested $125.00 $85.75 +$61.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$25.00 -$10.75 -$35.75 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 20.0% -12.5% -32.5% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (5 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window Evening Slot Only

Evaluated across 1,828 drawings (2021-09-05 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-348 (-23.6% ROI across 5,893 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$0.5
Return on Investment -0.1%
Hit Rate 0.50%
Max Drawdown -$-108.25
Active Drawings 1,828
Total Plays Placed 1,802
Total Winning Hits 9
Gross Revenue $450
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
6 hits
+$225
double 2x Double ($75.00)
3 hits
+$225

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $450.5
Total Payout (Gross) $450
Net Profit / Loss -$0.5
Final Bankroll $499.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-108.25. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-162.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$1.5
-100.0% ROI 		-$17
-100.0% ROI 		-$39.75
-100.0% ROI 		-$85.25
-100.0% ROI 		-$64
-36.3% ROI 		-$43
-16.0% ROI 		-$348.25
-23.6% ROI 		0 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $46 $0 -$46 0 -100.0%
2011 $90.5 $75 -$15.5 1 -17.1%
2012 $90.75 $37.5 -$53.25 1 -58.7%
2013 $91.25 $75 -$16.25 1 -17.8%
2014 $91.25 $0 -$91.25 0 -100.0%
2015 $91 $37.5 -$53.5 1 -58.8%
2016 $91.5 $37.5 -$54 1 -59.0%
2017 $91.25 $150 +$58.75 4 64.4%
2018 $91.25 $37.5 -$53.75 1 -58.9%
2019 $91.25 $0 -$91.25 0 -100.0%
2020 $91.5 $112.5 +$21 3 23.0%
2021 $91.25 $150 +$58.75 3 64.4%
2022 $91.25 $112.5 +$21.25 2 23.3%
2023 $91.25 $75 -$16.25 2 -17.8%
2024 $91.5 $112.5 +$21 2 23.0%
2025 $91.25 $112.5 +$21.25 2 23.3%
2026 $62.25 $0 -$62.25 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

21-10 $-8
21-11 $-8
21-12 $30
22-01 $-8
22-02 $-7
22-03 $30
22-04 $-8
22-05 $-8
22-06 $-8
22-07 $-8
22-08 $-8
22-09 $-8
22-10 $67
22-11 $-8
22-12 $-8
23-01 $-8
23-02 $-7
23-03 $30
23-04 $30
23-05 $-8
23-06 $-8
23-07 $-8
23-08 $-8
23-09 $-8
23-10 $-8
23-11 $-8
23-12 $-8
24-01 $-8
24-02 $-7
24-03 $-8
24-04 $-8
24-05 $30
24-06 $-8
24-07 $67
24-08 $-8
24-09 $-8
24-10 $-8
24-11 $-8
24-12 $-8
25-01 $-8
25-02 $-7
25-03 $67
25-04 $-8
25-05 $-8
25-06 $30
25-07 $-8
25-08 $-8
25-09 $-8
25-10 $-8
25-11 $-8
25-12 $-8
26-01 $-8
26-02 $-7
26-03 $-8
26-04 $-8
26-05 $-8
26-06 $-8
26-07 $-8
26-08 $-8
26-09 $-2

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

9 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.9
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
22.2%
2 of 9 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 3
2 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 2 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 3 ★ 2 drops (22.2%)
Draw 4 2 drops (22.2%)
Draw 5 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 6 1 drops (11.1%)
Draw 7 1 drops (11.1%)
Draw 8 2 drops (22.2%)
Draw 9 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 10 1 drops (11.1%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

336 2 hits 003 1 hits 037 1 hits 237 1 hits 257 1 hits 357 1 hits 368 1 hits 378 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 9)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2025-06-09 Evening 638 368 distinct +$37.50 pairs after 00: fall next draw or draw after (from 004 Evening 2025-06-08) · 00 often brings 66, 63 (from 004 Evening 2025-06-08) [RB9 Root 8 Aligned] · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 004)
2025-03-10 Evening 003 003 double 2x Double +$75.00 58: look for 78 and/or 30 pair (from 584 Night 2025-03-07) · after a double look for 3, 4, or 8 within a couple draws (from 772 Midday 2025-03-08) — contains digit 3 [RB9 Root 3 Aligned] · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 772)
2024-07-04 Evening 336 336 double 2x Double +$75.00 after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 220 Evening 2024-07-02) · after 0: brings 3 or 6, or another 0 (from 220 Evening 2024-07-02) — contains digit 3 [RB9 Root 3 Aligned] · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 220)
2024-05-15 Evening 573 357 distinct +$37.50 5: look for 7; sets 7&5, 5&2, 7&0, 7&1 (from 985 Evening 2024-05-14) · 35/53 follows 59 (from 985 Evening 2024-05-14) [RB9 Root 6 Aligned] · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 985)
2023-04-12 Evening 378 378 distinct +$37.50 56 brings digit 3 and/or pair 37 (from 526 Midday 2023-04-11) · 09: look for 78 or 38 pair (from 940 Night 2023-04-10) [RB9 Root 9 Aligned] · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 526)
2023-03-01 Evening 703 037 distinct +$37.50 11 brings a series and sometimes 00 (from 121 Night 2023-02-25) · 89 brings a 0 and likes to travel with pair 25 (from 896 Midday 2023-02-26) — contains digit 0 [RB9 Root 1 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 896)
2022-10-20 Evening 336 336 double 2x Double +$75.00 after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 410 Evening 2022-10-17) · after a double look for 3, 4, or 8 within a couple draws (from 737 Night 2022-10-17) — contains digit 3 [RB9 Root 3 Aligned] · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 737)
2022-03-15 Evening 327 237 distinct +$37.50 56 brings digit 3 and/or pair 37 (from 356 Midday 2022-03-14) · 01 pair usually brings 32, 28 pairs (from 016 Night 2022-03-13) [RB9 Root 3 Aligned] · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 356)
2021-12-08 Evening 275 257 distinct +$37.50 7 pairs frequently with 5, 2, 0, 1 (from 738 Night 2021-12-05) · 2 drawn in sets: 2&6, 5&2, 7&2 (from 216 Evening 2021-12-05) [RB9 Root 5 Aligned] · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 738)