Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 732 archive drawings (2025-09-07 → 2026-09-07) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $187.50 / double $375.00 / two-double $750.00 / triple $1125.00 / double-triple $2250.00 / quadruple $4500.00 / quint $22500.00.
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
1 families every drawing across
732 drawings accumulates
604 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.8 | 732 | 604 | 0 | 0.00% | $151 | $0 | $-151 | -100.0% | $-151 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 4.1 | 732 | 3,005 | 2 | 0.07% | $751.25 | $562.5 | $-188.75 | -25.1% | $-602.5 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.7 | 732 | 492 | 0 | 0.00% | $123 | $0 | $-123 | -100.0% | $-123 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.0 | 732 | 740 | 0 | 0.00% | $185 | $0 | $-185 | -100.0% | $-185 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.1 | 732 | 794 | 1 | 0.13% | $198.5 | $187.5 | $-11 | -5.5% | $-92.25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 2.9 | 732 | 2,134 | 2 | 0.09% | $533.5 | $375 | $-158.5 | -29.7% | $-235.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 683 | 0 | 0.00% | $170.75 | $0 | $-170.75 | -100.0% | $-170.75 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.8 | 732 | 2,049 | 3 | 0.15% | $512.25 | $1,125 | $612.75 | 119.6% | $-271.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,830 | 4 | 0.06% | $1,707.5 | $750 | $-957.5 | -56.1% | $-1,060 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.8 | 732 | 12,294 | 10 | 0.08% | $3,073.5 | $3,750 | $676.5 | 22.0% | $-549 |
| Pure Matches: 5 of a Kind (All 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,830 | 0 | 0.00% | $1,707.5 | $0 | $-1,707.5 | -100.0% | $-1,707.5 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,830 | 8 | 0.12% | $1,707.5 | $1,500 | $-207.5 | -12.2% | $-497.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.8 | 732 | 12,294 | 0 | 0.00% | $3,073.5 | $0 | $-3,073.5 | -100.0% | $-3,073.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,830 | 3 | 0.04% | $1,707.5 | $3,375 | $1,667.5 | 97.7% | $-1,060 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,830 | 1 | 0.01% | $1,707.5 | $750 | $-957.5 | -56.1% | $-1,365 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.7 | 732 | 3,415 | 6 | 0.18% | $853.75 | $1,125 | $271.25 | 31.8% | $-225 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 235.1 | 732 | 172,116 | 207 | 0.12% | $43,029 | $38,812.5 | $-4,216.5 | -9.8% | $-4,810.5 |
| ⚡ Cash 5 Midday Stem Continuation Sniper | 0.3 | 732 | 233 | 0 | 0.00% | $58.25 | $0 | $-58.25 | -100.0% | $-58.25 |
| ⚡ Cash 5 Intra-Day Double Continuation Sniper | 0.1 | 732 | 105 | 0 | 0.00% | $26.25 | $0 | $-26.25 | -100.0% | $-26.25 |
| Distinct Velocity (Trailing 120d · 15-Draw Cooldown) | 0.6 | 732 | 424 | 1 | 0.24% | $106 | $187.5 | $81.5 | 76.9% | $-57.5 |
| Double Velocity (Trailing 120d · 30-Draw Cooldown) | 0.6 | 732 | 417 | 0 | 0.00% | $104.25 | $0 | $-104.25 | -100.0% | $-104.25 |
| Triple Velocity (Trailing 120d · 30-Draw Cooldown) | 0.6 | 732 | 426 | 0 | 0.00% | $106.5 | $0 | $-106.5 | -100.0% | $-106.5 |
| Post-Triple Regime Sniper (Hold 2d · Top 1) | 0.1 | 732 | 89 | 0 | 0.00% | $22.25 | $0 | $-22.25 | -100.0% | $-22.25 |
| Post-Distinct Multiplicity Wave (Doubles Top 1) | 0.3 | 732 | 202 | 0 | 0.00% | $50.5 | $0 | $-50.5 | -100.0% | $-50.5 |
| Pickstics 3-Digit Stem Follower · Rolling 5-Draw Hold | 4.1 | 732 | 3,010 | 3 | 0.10% | $752.5 | $1,125 | $372.5 | 49.5% | $-268.5 |
| Cash 5 Champion Ensemble (Top 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,830 | 4 | 0.06% | $1,707.5 | $1,312.5 | $-395 | -23.1% | $-615 |
| Cash 5 High-Conviction Consensus (≥ 2 Agreement) | 0.1 | 732 | 96 | 0 | 0.00% | $24 | $0 | $-24 | -100.0% | $-24 |
| Hot double/doubles (top 8) | 7.5 | 732 | 5,464 | 3 | 0.05% | $1,366 | $2,250 | $884 | 64.7% | $-1,092 |
| Hot triples (top 8) | 7.5 | 732 | 5,464 | 3 | 0.05% | $1,366 | $2,250 | $884 | 64.7% | $-1,092 |
Window summary.
8 of 29 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) (+119.6% ROI, net +$612.75)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$1667.50 · Hot double/doubles (top 8) +$884.00 · Hot triples (top 8) +$884.00
Top Net Dollars: Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$1667.50 · Hot double/doubles (top 8) +$884.00 · Hot triples (top 8) +$884.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$33 | +$408 | -$48 | -$958 | -$2,783 | -$2,363 | +$10,995 | 1/12 |
| Cash 5 Champion Ensemble (Top 10) | -$33 | -$343 | -$235 | -$395 | +$30 | +$1,200 | +$10,245 | 4/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$59 | -$617 | -$1,436 | -$3,074 | -$5,234 | -$4,028 | +$6,291 | 0/12 |
| Triple Velocity (Trailing 120d · 30-Draw Cooldown) | -$0 | -$20 | -$53 | -$107 | -$236 | -$344 | +$5,032 | 0/12 |
| Post-Triple Regime Sniper (Hold 2d · Top 1) | — | -$5 | -$12 | -$22 | -$51 | -$74 | +$1,890 | 0/11 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$33 | +$783 | +$328 | +$1,668 | -$158 | +$263 | +$1,620 | 2/12 |
| ⚡ Cash 5 Midday Stem Continuation Sniper | -$1 | -$12 | -$28 | -$58 | +$70 | +$191 | +$1,158 | 0/12 |
| Cash 5 High-Conviction Consensus (≥ 2 Agreement) | -$1 | -$6 | -$13 | -$24 | -$43 | -$55 | +$910 | 0/10 |
| Double Velocity (Trailing 120d · 30-Draw Cooldown) | — | -$21 | -$44 | -$104 | -$214 | -$300 | +$749 | 0/11 |
| Distinct Velocity (Trailing 120d · 15-Draw Cooldown) | -$2 | -$21 | +$139 | +$82 | +$352 | +$250 | +$579 | 1/12 |
| ⚡ Cash 5 Intra-Day Double Continuation Sniper | -$0 | -$5 | -$12 | -$26 | -$57 | -$80 | +$351 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$34 | -$80 | -$171 | -$166 | -$349 | +$350 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$10 | +$69 | -$54 | -$159 | -$287 | -$240 | +$281 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$25 | -$54 | -$123 | -$248 | -$332 | +$31 | 0/12 |
| Post-Distinct Multiplicity Wave (Doubles Top 1) | -$1 | -$11 | -$24 | -$51 | +$269 | +$219 | -$6 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$31 | -$71 | -$151 | -$301 | -$434 | -$26 | 0/12 |
| Pickstics 3-Digit Stem Follower · Rolling 5-Draw Hold | -$15 | -$159 | +$19 | +$373 | +$900 | +$649 | -$147 | 3/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$16 | +$16 | +$164 | +$271 | +$671 | +$319 | -$315 | 5/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$59 | +$134 | +$440 | +$677 | +$392 | -$653 | -$459 | 7/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$33 | +$33 | +$140 | -$208 | +$593 | +$75 | -$1,155 | 7/12 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$10 | -$103 | +$511 | +$613 | +$65 | -$296 | -$1,389 | 3/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$16 | +$225 | +$26 | -$189 | -$758 | -$1,421 | -$1,434 | 2/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$33 | -$343 | -$610 | -$958 | -$158 | -$488 | -$1,568 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$4 | -$36 | -$86 | -$185 | -$212 | -$235 | -$1,769 | 0/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$6 | -$37 | -$92 | -$11 | -$77 | -$134 | -$1,941 | 1/12 |
| Pure Matches: 5 of a Kind (All 10) | -$33 | -$343 | -$798 | -$1,708 | -$3,533 | -$5,363 | -$4,005 | 0/12 |
| Hot double/doubles (top 8) | -$26 | +$1,976 | +$1,612 | +$884 | -$576 | -$540 | -$6,954 | 2/12 |
| Hot triples (top 8) | -$26 | +$1,976 | +$1,612 | +$884 | -$576 | -$540 | -$6,954 | 2/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$444 | -$944 | -$2,472 | -$4,217 | -$6,707 | -$15,698 | -$77,114 | 3/12 |