Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 69 total plays 0.8 families/draw

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.8 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.19 (0.8 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#472
Night (2026-09-04)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

234 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
234 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 0 or 7 brings 42 pair (14x in Cici's Sep 2026 notes) (from 476 Evening 2026-09-04) · 23 brings 23 and 69 complements (from 372 Midday 2026-09-04) [RB9 Root 9 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 472)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 99.4%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 447 -10.6% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 1 0 0.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.20% 0.00% -0.20%
Capital Invested $125.00 $148.50 +$13.25 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$87.50 -$148.50 -$61.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -70.0% -100.0% -30.0% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (3 months walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window Midday Slot Only

Evaluated across 92 drawings (2026-06-08 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$439 (29.8% ROI across 5,893 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$17.25
Return on Investment -100.0%
Hit Rate 0.00%
Max Drawdown -$-17.25
Active Drawings 92
Total Plays Placed 69
Total Winning Hits 0
Gross Revenue $0

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $17.25
Total Payout (Gross) $0
Net Profit / Loss -$17.25
Final Bankroll $482.75
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-17.25. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-25.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$1.75
-100.0% ROI
-$17.25
-100.0% ROI
-$40
-100.0% ROI
-$85.5
-100.0% ROI
-$64.25
-36.4% ROI
-$43.25
-16.1% ROI
+$439.25
29.8% ROI
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $46 $0 -$46 0 -100.0%
2011 $90.25 $112.5 +$22.25 2 24.7%
2012 $91 $75 -$16 1 -17.6%
2013 $91 $112.5 +$21.5 2 23.6%
2014 $91.25 $0 -$91.25 0 -100.0%
2015 $91 $187.5 +$96.5 3 106.0%
2016 $91.5 $112.5 +$21 2 23.0%
2017 $91.25 $37.5 -$53.75 1 -58.9%
2018 $91.25 $225 +$133.75 5 146.6%
2019 $91.25 $150 +$58.75 2 64.4%
2020 $91.5 $300 +$208.5 4 227.9%
2021 $91.25 $75 -$16.25 2 -17.8%
2022 $91.25 $225 +$133.75 4 146.6%
2023 $91.25 $150 +$58.75 3 64.4%
2024 $91.5 $75 -$16.5 2 -18.0%
2025 $91.25 $75 -$16.25 2 -17.8%
2026 $62.5 $0 -$62.5 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-07 $-8
26-08 $-8
26-09 $-2