Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,803 total plays 1.0 families/draw
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit (+14.8% All-Time ROI, #1 Champion).
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit (+14.8% All-Time ROI, #1 Champion).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 1.0 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.25 (1.0 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 125 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | followed number 476 2/10x within 10 draws · followed family 467 6/74x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 472) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Improved but Underperforming: Filtering reduced losses, but underlying signal requires stronger trigger confluence.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 174 | -65.2% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 2 | 1 | 50.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.40% | 0.57% | +0.17% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $57.75 | +$81.50 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$50.00 | -$20.25 | +$29.75 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -40.0% | -35.1% | +4.9% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (5 years walk-forward)
Evaluated across 1,828 drawings (2021-09-06 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$402 (27.3% ROI across 5,893 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$1.75
-100.0% ROI |
-$17.25
-100.0% ROI |
+$110
275.0% ROI |
+$64.5
75.4% ROI |
+$198.25
112.2% ROI |
+$144.25
53.8% ROI |
+$401.75
27.3% ROI |
2 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $46 | $37.5 | -$8.5 | 1 | -18.5% |
| 2011 | $90.25 | $0 | -$90.25 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2012 | $91 | $75 | -$16 | 2 | -17.6% |
| 2013 | $91 | $37.5 | -$53.5 | 1 | -58.8% |
| 2014 | $91.25 | $75 | -$16.25 | 2 | -17.8% |
| 2015 | $91 | $187.5 | +$96.5 | 4 | 106.0% |
| 2016 | $91.5 | $75 | -$16.5 | 2 | -18.0% |
| 2017 | $91.25 | $112.5 | +$21.25 | 3 | 23.3% |
| 2018 | $91.25 | $225 | +$133.75 | 6 | 146.6% |
| 2019 | $91.25 | $150 | +$58.75 | 4 | 64.4% |
| 2020 | $91.5 | $187.5 | +$96 | 5 | 104.9% |
| 2021 | $91.25 | $150 | +$58.75 | 4 | 64.4% |
| 2022 | $91.25 | $75 | -$16.25 | 2 | -17.8% |
| 2023 | $91.25 | $112.5 | +$21.25 | 3 | 23.3% |
| 2024 | $91.5 | $37.5 | -$54 | 1 | -59.0% |
| 2025 | $91.25 | $187.5 | +$96.25 | 4 | 105.5% |
| 2026 | $62.5 | $150 | +$87.5 | 4 | 140.0% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
14 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 14)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-05 | Midday | 541 | 145 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 279 2/14x within 10 draws · followed family 279 9/92x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 279) |
| 2026-05-25 | Midday | 362 | 236 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 732 -> 632 · followed family 258 8/80x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 732) |
| 2026-05-21 | Midday | 970 | 079 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 027 5/72x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 720 -> 079 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 720) |
| 2026-05-18 | Midday | 720 | 027 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 999 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 999 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 999) |
| 2025-09-14 | Midday | 472 | 247 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 018 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 018 6/72x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 018) |
| 2025-08-06 | Midday | 242 | 224 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Book followed-by: 192 -> 242 · followed number 155 1/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 192) |
| 2025-07-05 | Midday | 025 | 025 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 160 1/9x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 250 · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 160) |
| 2025-02-21 | Midday | 438 | 348 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 990 4/12x within 10 draws · followed family 099 6/34x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 990) |
| 2024-10-17 | Midday | 738 | 378 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 749 1/8x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 749 -> 378 · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 749) |
| 2023-10-24 | Midday | 451 | 145 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 681 1/10x within 10 draws · followed family 168 4/63x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 681) |
| 2023-06-25 | Midday | 452 | 245 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 209 1/8x within 10 draws · followed family 029 7/65x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 209) |
| 2023-04-26 | Midday | 074 | 047 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 248 1/9x within 10 draws · followed family 248 6/66x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 248) |
| 2022-09-03 | Midday | 314 | 134 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 230 1/8x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 230 -> 314 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 230) |
| 2022-04-06 | Midday | 248 | 248 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 817 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 178 10/59x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 817) |