Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,803 total plays 1.0 families/draw

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit (+14.8% All-Time ROI, #1 Champion).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit (+14.8% All-Time ROI, #1 Champion).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 1.0 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.25 (1.0 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#472
Night (2026-09-04)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

125 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
125 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 followed number 476 2/10x within 10 draws · followed family 467 6/74x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 472)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: C Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 99.2%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Improved but Underperforming: Filtering reduced losses, but underlying signal requires stronger trigger confluence.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 174 -65.2% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 2 1 50.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.40% 0.57% +0.17%
Capital Invested $125.00 $57.75 +$81.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$50.00 -$20.25 +$29.75 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -40.0% -35.1% +4.9% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (5 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window Midday Slot Only

Evaluated across 1,828 drawings (2021-09-06 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$402 (27.3% ROI across 5,893 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$111.75
Return on Investment 24.8%
Hit Rate 0.78%
Max Drawdown -$-86.5
Active Drawings 1,828
Total Plays Placed 1,803
Total Winning Hits 14
Gross Revenue $562.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
13 hits
+$487.5
double 2x Double ($75.00)
1 hits
+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $450.75
Total Payout (Gross) $562.5
Net Profit / Loss +$111.75
Final Bankroll $611.75
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-86.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-129.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$1.75
-100.0% ROI
-$17.25
-100.0% ROI
+$110
275.0% ROI
+$64.5
75.4% ROI
+$198.25
112.2% ROI
+$144.25
53.8% ROI
+$401.75
27.3% ROI
2 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $46 $37.5 -$8.5 1 -18.5%
2011 $90.25 $0 -$90.25 0 -100.0%
2012 $91 $75 -$16 2 -17.6%
2013 $91 $37.5 -$53.5 1 -58.8%
2014 $91.25 $75 -$16.25 2 -17.8%
2015 $91 $187.5 +$96.5 4 106.0%
2016 $91.5 $75 -$16.5 2 -18.0%
2017 $91.25 $112.5 +$21.25 3 23.3%
2018 $91.25 $225 +$133.75 6 146.6%
2019 $91.25 $150 +$58.75 4 64.4%
2020 $91.5 $187.5 +$96 5 104.9%
2021 $91.25 $150 +$58.75 4 64.4%
2022 $91.25 $75 -$16.25 2 -17.8%
2023 $91.25 $112.5 +$21.25 3 23.3%
2024 $91.5 $37.5 -$54 1 -59.0%
2025 $91.25 $187.5 +$96.25 4 105.5%
2026 $62.5 $150 +$87.5 4 140.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

21-10 $-8
21-11 $-8
21-12 $-8
22-01 $-8
22-02 $-7
22-03 $-8
22-04 $30
22-05 $-8
22-06 $-8
22-07 $-8
22-08 $-8
22-09 $30
22-10 $-8
22-11 $-8
22-12 $-8
23-01 $-8
23-02 $-7
23-03 $-8
23-04 $30
23-05 $-8
23-06 $30
23-07 $-8
23-08 $-8
23-09 $-8
23-10 $30
23-11 $-8
23-12 $-8
24-01 $-8
24-02 $-7
24-03 $-8
24-04 $-8
24-05 $-8
24-06 $-8
24-07 $-8
24-08 $-8
24-09 $-8
24-10 $30
24-11 $-8
24-12 $-8
25-01 $-8
25-02 $31
25-03 $-8
25-04 $-8
25-05 $-8
25-06 $-8
25-07 $30
25-08 $67
25-09 $30
25-10 $-8
25-11 $-8
25-12 $-8
26-01 $-8
26-02 $-7
26-03 $-8
26-04 $-8
26-05 $105
26-06 $30
26-07 $-8
26-08 $-8
26-09 $-2

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

14 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 6.1
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
28.6%
4 of 14 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 6
3 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 1 drops (7.1%)
Draw 2 1 drops (7.1%)
Draw 3 2 drops (14.3%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 1 drops (7.1%)
Draw 6 ★ 3 drops (21.4%)
Draw 7 1 drops (7.1%)
Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9 3 drops (21.4%)
Draw 10 2 drops (14.3%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

145 2 hits 025 1 hits 027 1 hits 047 1 hits 079 1 hits 134 1 hits 224 1 hits 236 1 hits 245 1 hits 247 1 hits 248 1 hits 348 1 hits 378 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 14)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-06-05 Midday 541 145 distinct +$37.50 followed number 279 2/14x within 10 draws · followed family 279 9/92x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 279)
2026-05-25 Midday 362 236 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 732 -> 632 · followed family 258 8/80x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 732)
2026-05-21 Midday 970 079 distinct +$37.50 followed family 027 5/72x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 720 -> 079 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 720)
2026-05-18 Midday 720 027 distinct +$37.50 followed number 999 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 999 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 999)
2025-09-14 Midday 472 247 distinct +$37.50 followed number 018 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 018 6/72x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 018)
2025-08-06 Midday 242 224 double 2x Double +$75.00 Book followed-by: 192 -> 242 · followed number 155 1/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 192)
2025-07-05 Midday 025 025 distinct +$37.50 followed number 160 1/9x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 250 · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 160)
2025-02-21 Midday 438 348 distinct +$37.50 followed number 990 4/12x within 10 draws · followed family 099 6/34x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 990)
2024-10-17 Midday 738 378 distinct +$37.50 followed number 749 1/8x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 749 -> 378 · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 749)
2023-10-24 Midday 451 145 distinct +$37.50 followed number 681 1/10x within 10 draws · followed family 168 4/63x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 681)
2023-06-25 Midday 452 245 distinct +$37.50 followed number 209 1/8x within 10 draws · followed family 029 7/65x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 209)
2023-04-26 Midday 074 047 distinct +$37.50 followed number 248 1/9x within 10 draws · followed family 248 6/66x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 248)
2022-09-03 Midday 314 134 distinct +$37.50 followed number 230 1/8x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 230 -> 314 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 230)
2022-04-06 Midday 248 248 distinct +$37.50 followed number 817 2/12x within 10 draws · followed family 178 10/59x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 817)