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Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,438 total plays 1.0 families/draw

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit (+14.8% All-Time ROI, #1 Champion).

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m
Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening 🌙 Night

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit (+14.8% All-Time ROI, #1 Champion).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 1.0 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.25 (1.0 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#472
Night (2026-09-04)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

125 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
125 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 followed number 476 2/10x within 10 draws · followed family 467 6/74x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 472)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: C Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 99.2%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Improved but Underperforming: Filtering reduced losses, but underlying signal requires stronger trigger confluence.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 174 -65.2% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 2 1 50.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.40% 0.57% +0.17%
Capital Invested $125.00 $57.75 +$81.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$50.00 -$20.25 +$29.75 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -40.0% -35.1% +4.9% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (4 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window Night Slot Only

Evaluated across 1,462 drawings (2022-09-07 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$119 (22.8% ROI across 2,076 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$53
Return on Investment 14.7%
Hit Rate 0.76%
Max Drawdown -$-93.75
Active Drawings 1,462
Total Plays Placed 1,438
Total Winning Hits 11
Gross Revenue $412.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
11 hits
+$412.5

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $359.5
Total Payout (Gross) $412.5
Net Profit / Loss +$53
Final Bankroll $553
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-93.75. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-140.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$1.75
-100.0% ROI 		-$17.25
-100.0% ROI 		-$40
-100.0% ROI 		-$48
-56.1% ROI 		-$64.25
-36.4% ROI 		+$31.75
11.8% ROI 		+$118.5
22.8% ROI 		1 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2011 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2012 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2013 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2014 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2015 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2016 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2017 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2018 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2019 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2020 $0 $0 +$0 0 —
2021 $91.25 $225 +$133.75 5 146.6%
2022 $91.25 $37.5 -$53.75 1 -58.9%
2023 $91.25 $187.5 +$96.25 5 105.5%
2024 $91.5 $75 -$16.5 2 -18.0%
2025 $91.25 $112.5 +$21.25 3 23.3%
2026 $62.5 $0 -$62.5 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

22-10 $-8
22-11 $30
22-12 $-8
23-01 $-8
23-02 $31
23-03 $-8
23-04 $30
23-05 $-8
23-06 $-8
23-07 $-8
23-08 $-8
23-09 $-8
23-10 $30
23-11 $30
23-12 $30
24-01 $-8
24-02 $-7
24-03 $30
24-04 $-8
24-05 $-8
24-06 $30
24-07 $-8
24-08 $-8
24-09 $-8
24-10 $-8
24-11 $-8
24-12 $-8
25-01 $-8
25-02 $31
25-03 $30
25-04 $-8
25-05 $-8
25-06 $-8
25-07 $-8
25-08 $-8
25-09 $-8
25-10 $-8
25-11 $30
25-12 $-8
26-01 $-8
26-02 $-7
26-03 $-8
26-04 $-8
26-05 $-8
26-06 $-8
26-07 $-8
26-08 $-8
26-09 $-2

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

11 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 4.3
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
54.5%
6 of 11 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 1
2 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 ★ 2 drops (18.2%)
Draw 2 2 drops (18.2%)
Draw 3 2 drops (18.2%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 6 2 drops (18.2%)
Draw 7 1 drops (9.1%)
Draw 8 2 drops (18.2%)
Draw 9 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 10 0 drops (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

019 1 hits 024 1 hits 026 1 hits 047 1 hits 139 1 hits 159 1 hits 168 1 hits 236 1 hits 258 1 hits 468 1 hits 478 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 11)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2025-11-16 Night 528 258 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 457 -> 528 · followed number 282 2/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 457)
2025-03-04 Night 487 478 distinct +$37.50 followed number 386 1/17x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 386 -> 478 · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 386)
2025-02-23 Night 618 168 distinct +$37.50 followed family 348 6/72x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 681 · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 438)
2024-06-14 Night 240 024 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 306 -> 240 · followed number 755 1/7x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 306)
2024-03-25 Night 915 159 distinct +$37.50 followed number 664 3/7x within 10 draws · followed family 466 4/28x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 664)
2023-12-29 Night 648 468 distinct +$37.50 followed number 246 2/8x within 10 draws · followed family 246 5/76x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 246)
2023-11-11 Night 319 139 distinct +$37.50 followed number 823 1/13x within 10 draws · followed family 238 6/70x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 823)
2023-10-15 Night 632 236 distinct +$37.50 followed number 757 3/8x within 10 draws · followed family 577 11/38x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 757)
2023-04-19 Night 910 019 distinct +$37.50 followed number 337 5/14x within 10 draws · followed family 337 6/27x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 337)
2023-02-13 Night 062 026 distinct +$37.50 followed number 947 3/10x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 947 -> 620 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 947)
2022-11-05 Night 047 047 distinct +$37.50 followed number 241 2/5x within 10 draws · followed family 124 7/58x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 241)