Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 3,290 total plays 1.0 families/draw

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 1.0 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.25 (1.0 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/05/2026

Playing 1 families for $0.25 total stake.

023 distinct
FamilyTypeSelection Reason
023 distinct followed 215 3x in 10 draws across 14 occurrences · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 672)

📊 Key performance metrics (3 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 3,290 drawings (2023-09-04 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-308 (-9.0% ROI across 13,683 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$72.5
Return on Investment -8.8%
Hit Rate 0.55%
Max Drawdown -$-130.5
Active Drawings 3,290
Total Plays Placed 3,290
Total Winning Hits 18
Gross Revenue $750

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $822.5
Total Payout (Gross) $750
Net Profit / Loss -$72.5
Final Bankroll $427.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-130.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-195.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$2.75
-100.0% ROI
+$25.75
52.3% ROI
-$42.5
-36.2% ROI
+$46
18.1% ROI
+$34.75
6.6% ROI
-$52.25
-6.5% ROI
-$308.25
-9.0% ROI
6 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $67.5 $112.5 +$45 3 66.7%
2011 $167 $75 -$92 2 -55.1%
2012 $175.25 $187.5 +$12.25 4 7.0%
2013 $180.5 $187.5 +$7 4 3.9%
2014 $181.5 $112.5 -$69 3 -38.0%
2015 $181.5 $150 -$31.5 4 -17.4%
2016 $182.75 $187.5 +$4.75 4 2.6%
2017 $182.25 $150 -$32.25 4 -17.7%
2018 $182.5 $262.5 +$80 7 43.8%
2019 $182.5 $225 +$42.5 5 23.3%
2020 $183 $262.5 +$79.5 7 43.4%
2021 $273.75 $225 -$48.75 6 -17.8%
2022 $273.75 $150 -$123.75 3 -45.2%
2023 $273.75 $112.5 -$161.25 3 -58.9%
2024 $274.5 $225 -$49.5 6 -18.0%
2025 $273.75 $300 +$26.25 7 9.6%
2026 $185 $187.5 +$2.5 4 1.4%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-09 $-20
23-10 $-23
23-11 $15
23-12 $-23
24-01 $14
24-02 $16
24-03 $14
24-04 $-23
24-05 $14
24-06 $-23
24-07 $-23
24-08 $-23
24-09 $-23
24-10 $-23
24-11 $15
24-12 $14
25-01 $14
25-02 $-21
25-03 $52
25-04 $-23
25-05 $-23
25-06 $-23
25-07 $14
25-08 $14
25-09 $-23
25-10 $52
25-11 $-23
25-12 $14
26-01 $-23
26-02 $54
26-03 $14
26-04 $-23
26-05 $-23
26-06 $-23
26-07 $14
26-08 $14
26-09 $-3

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

089 2 hits 169 2 hits 008 1 hits 013 1 hits 023 1 hits 037 1 hits 039 1 hits 045 1 hits 049 1 hits 125 1 hits 139 1 hits 236 1 hits 239 1 hits 348 1 hits 379 1 hits 455 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 18)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-01 Night 037 037 +$37.50 followed 883 3x in 10 draws across 13 occurrences · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 883)
2026-07-09 Night 490 049 +$37.50 followed 524 4x in 10 draws across 14 occurrences · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 524)
2026-03-09 Evening 619 169 +$37.50 followed 924 5x in 10 draws across 18 occurrences · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 924)
2026-02-25 Midday 800 008 +$75.00 followed 659 3x in 10 draws across 8 occurrences · Chase Step 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 659)
2025-12-15 Midday 932 239 +$37.50 followed 858 5x in 10 draws across 15 occurrences · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 858)
2025-10-27 Midday 103 013 +$37.50 followed 709 5x in 10 draws across 13 occurrences · Chase Step 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 709)
2025-10-07 Night 348 348 +$37.50 followed 687 4x in 10 draws across 14 occurrences · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 687)
2025-08-19 Night 309 039 +$37.50 followed 150 3x in 10 draws across 12 occurrences · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 150)
2025-07-23 Evening 916 169 +$37.50 followed 439 3x in 10 draws across 10 occurrences · Chase Step 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 439)
2025-03-12 Night 545 455 +$75.00 followed 915 4x in 10 draws across 16 occurrences · Chase Step 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 915)
2025-01-25 Night 326 236 +$37.50 followed 864 4x in 10 draws across 12 occurrences · Chase Step 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 864)
2024-12-13 Night 139 139 +$37.50 followed 731 3x in 10 draws across 11 occurrences · Chase Step 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 731)
2024-11-05 Night 125 125 +$37.50 followed 371 4x in 10 draws across 15 occurrences · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 371)
2024-05-30 Night 890 089 +$37.50 followed 833 5x in 10 draws across 17 occurrences · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 833)
2024-03-28 Evening 793 379 +$37.50 followed 188 4x in 10 draws across 12 occurrences · Chase Step 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 188)
2024-02-05 Midday 023 023 +$37.50 followed 017 3x in 10 draws across 12 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 017)
2024-01-05 Midday 908 089 +$37.50 followed 738 3x in 10 draws across 12 occurrences · Chase Step 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 738)
2023-11-29 Midday 054 045 +$37.50 followed 396 3x in 10 draws across 5 occurrences · Chase Step 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 396)