Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 340 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/08/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#3150
Evening (2026-08-29)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$187.50 (Double Prize)
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$185.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

6899 double
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
6899 double Hold Draw 10 of 10 23 brings 23 and 69 complements (from 7327 Evening 2026-08-28) · 25 pair travels with pair 89 (reciprocal) (from 2457 Evening 2026-08-27) [RB9 Root 5 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 3150)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 100%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 450 -10.0% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 0 0 100% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.00% 0.00% +0.00%
Capital Invested $125.00 $150.00 +$12.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$125.00 -$150.00 -$25.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -100.0% -100.0% +0.0% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 364 drawings (2025-09-07 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-196 (-67.6% ROI across 1,159 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$85
Return on Investment -100.0%
Hit Rate 0.00%
Max Drawdown -$-85
Active Drawings 364
Total Plays Placed 340
Total Winning Hits 0
Gross Revenue $0

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $85
Total Payout (Gross) $0
Net Profit / Loss -$85
Final Bankroll $415
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-85.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-127.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$1.75
-100.0% ROI
-$17.25
-100.0% ROI
-$39.75
-100.0% ROI
-$85
-100.0% ROI
-$175.75
-100.0% ROI
-$266.75
-100.0% ROI
-$196
-67.6% ROI
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $45.75 $93.75 +$48 1 104.9%
2024 $91 $0 -$91 0 -100.0%
2025 $90.75 $0 -$90.75 0 -100.0%
2026 $62.25 $0 -$62.25 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-8
25-11 $-8
25-12 $-8
26-01 $-8
26-02 $-7
26-03 $-8
26-04 $-7
26-05 $-8
26-06 $-8
26-07 $-8
26-08 $-8
26-09 $-2