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Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 174 total plays 0.5 families/draw

Wide coverage portfolio chase: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio chase: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a hit occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.5 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.12 (0.5 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/05/2026

⚡ ACTIVE CHASE CYCLE Draw 3 of 10
7 draws remaining in cycle
Chase Cycle Progress Rail 3 / 10 Steps Completed or Active
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ▶ ACTIVE
4 Step 4
5 Step 5
6 Step 6
7 Step 7
8 Step 8
9 Step 9
10 Step 10
Trigger Drawing
#0482
Evening (2026-09-02)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$3.75
$1.25/draw × 3 draws
Payout if Hit Now
$93.75 (Distinct) · $187.50 (Double)
Stops immediately on hit
Net Profit if Hit Now
+$90.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this chase cycle:

0117 double 0168 distinct 0237 distinct 0256 distinct 0346 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
0117 double Draw 3 of 10 followed 1473 1x in 10 draws across 1 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 0482)
0168 distinct Draw 3 of 10 followed 1473 1x in 10 draws across 1 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 0482)
0237 distinct Draw 3 of 10 followed 1473 1x in 10 draws across 1 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 0482)
0256 distinct Draw 3 of 10 followed 1473 1x in 10 draws across 1 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 0482)
0346 distinct Draw 3 of 10 followed 1473 1x in 10 draws across 1 occurrences · Chase Step 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 0482)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 364 drawings (2025-09-04 → 2026-09-03). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-120 (-100.0% ROI across 482 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$43.5
Return on Investment -100.0%
Hit Rate 0.00%
Max Drawdown -$-43.5
Active Drawings 364
Total Plays Placed 174
Total Winning Hits 0
Gross Revenue $0

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $43.5
Total Payout (Gross) $0
Net Profit / Loss -$43.5
Final Bankroll $456.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-43.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-65.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$0.5
-100.0% ROI
-$9
-100.0% ROI
-$23
-100.0% ROI
-$43.5
-100.0% ROI
-$89.5
-100.0% ROI
-$113
-100.0% ROI
-$120.5
-100.0% ROI
0 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $12.5 $0 -$12.5 0 -100.0%
2024 $31.25 $0 -$31.25 0 -100.0%
2025 $43.75 $0 -$43.75 0 -100.0%
2026 $33 $0 -$33 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-3
25-11 $-5
25-12 $-3
26-01 $-4
26-02 $-3
26-03 $-4
26-04 $-4
26-05 $-5
26-06 $-6
26-07 $-7
26-08 $-2
26-09 $-1