Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 364 archive drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $93.75 / double $187.50 / two-double $375.00 / triple $562.50 / quadruple $2250.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 0 families every drawing across 364 drawings accumulates 0 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.0 364 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 0.0 364 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.0 364 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.2 364 454 1 0.22% $113.5 $93.75 $-19.75 -17.4% $-88.5
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.6 364 583 1 0.17% $145.75 $93.75 $-52 -35.7% $-110.5
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 0.0 364 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 364 338 0 0.00% $84.5 $0 $-84.5 -100.0% $-84.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 364 1,014 2 0.20% $253.5 $281.25 $27.75 10.9% $-114
Cici's Rules Engine 7.4 364 2,704 6 0.22% $676 $937.5 $261.5 38.7% $-238
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.4 364 2,704 5 0.18% $676 $750 $74 10.9% $-420
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.4 364 2,704 5 0.18% $676 $750 $74 10.9% $-244.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.6 364 1,690 4 0.24% $422.5 $562.5 $140 33.1% $-148.75
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 364 338 0 0.00% $84.5 $0 $-84.5 -100.0% $-84.5
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.4 364 2,704 7 0.26% $676 $1,218.75 $542.75 80.3% $-240
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 364 338 0 0.00% $84.5 $0 $-84.5 -100.0% $-84.5
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 364 338 0 0.00% $84.5 $0 $-84.5 -100.0% $-84.5
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 364 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 364 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 0.0 364 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Hot Families (top 10) 9.3 364 3,380 8 0.24% $845 $750 $-95 -11.2% $-302.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.7 364 6,084 7 0.12% $1,521 $1,312.5 $-208.5 -13.7% $-570
Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) 9.3 364 3,380 0 0.00% $845 $0 $-845 -100.0% $-845
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.3 364 3,380 9 0.27% $845 $937.5 $92.5 10.9% $-152.5
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.7 364 6,084 6 0.10% $1,521 $2,250 $729 47.9% $-439.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.3 364 3,380 2 0.06% $845 $562.5 $-282.5 -33.4% $-470
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.3 364 3,380 4 0.12% $845 $1,125 $280 33.1% $-297.5
Calendar Year Top-5 4.6 364 1,690 3 0.18% $422.5 $281.25 $-141.25 -33.4% $-245
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 195.0 364 70,980 173 0.24% $17,745 $16,218.75 $-1,526.25 -8.6% $-1,886.25
Window summary. 9 of 28 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) (+80.3% ROI, net +$542.75)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$729.00 · RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) +$542.75 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$280.00

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) -$4 +$44 -$24 +$28 -$151 +$2,578 +$3,452 2/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) -$13 +$208 +$170 +$280 +$873 +$2,213 +$2,545 4/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$165 +$1,011 +$1,169 +$729 +$1,158 +$1,958 +$2,294 5/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) -$13 -$168 -$393 -$283 -$253 +$525 +$858 2/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$10 -$40 +$342 +$543 +$848 +$776 +$780 5/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$10 -$40 +$61 +$262 +$379 +$308 +$311 4/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$10 -$40 +$61 +$74 -$183 +$401 +$311 3/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$165 +$261 +$44 -$209 -$155 +$83 +$231 6/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$10 -$40 -$127 +$74 +$98 +$26 +$30 4/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$0 0/0
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) +$0 0/0
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) +$0 0/0
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) +$0 0/0
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$1 -$17 -$39 -$85 +$12 +$15 -$8 0/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$2 +$69 +$38 -$20 -$40 -$160 -$160 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$2 +$59 +$19 -$52 -$7 -$170 -$171 1/12
Hot Families (top 10) -$13 +$20 -$18 -$95 -$440 -$131 -$174 6/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$1 -$17 -$39 -$85 -$175 -$266 -$196 0/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$1 -$17 -$39 -$85 -$175 -$266 -$196 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$1 -$17 -$39 -$85 -$175 -$266 -$288 0/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$6 +$10 -$9 +$140 -$33 -$206 -$321 4/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$6 +$104 -$9 -$141 -$408 -$300 -$321 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) -$13 +$114 -$18 +$93 -$346 -$694 -$699 7/12
Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) -$13 -$168 -$393 -$845 -$1,753 -$2,663 -$2,893 0/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes +$19 +$45 -$649 -$1,526 -$1,365 -$3,600 -$4,211 4/12