Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 732 archive drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-04) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $93.75 / double $187.50 / two-double $375.00 / triple $562.50 / quadruple $2250.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
0 families every drawing across
732 drawings accumulates
201 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | 0.3 | 732 | 201 | 1 | 0.50% | $50.25 | $93.75 | $43.5 | 86.6% | $-25 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | 1.4 | 732 | 995 | 5 | 0.50% | $248.75 | $468.75 | $220 | 88.4% | $-33.75 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Chase (Top 1) | 0.1 | 732 | 100 | 0 | 0.00% | $25 | $0 | $-25 | -100.0% | $-25 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | 1.2 | 732 | 895 | 2 | 0.22% | $223.75 | $281.25 | $57.5 | 25.7% | $-121 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 1.6 | 732 | 1,148 | 2 | 0.17% | $287 | $281.25 | $-5.75 | -2.0% | $-155.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | 0.5 | 732 | 341 | 1 | 0.29% | $85.25 | $93.75 | $8.5 | 10.0% | $-50 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.4 | 732 | 5,424 | 10 | 0.18% | $1,356 | $1,500 | $144 | 10.6% | $-346.75 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.4 | 732 | 5,424 | 5 | 0.09% | $1,356 | $656.25 | $-699.75 | -51.6% | $-924.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.4 | 732 | 5,424 | 10 | 0.18% | $1,356 | $1,500 | $144 | 10.6% | $-170.25 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.6 | 732 | 3,390 | 4 | 0.12% | $847.5 | $562.5 | $-285 | -33.6% | $-436.25 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Chase (Anti-Repeat Gate) | 0.9 | 732 | 678 | 1 | 0.15% | $169.5 | $93.75 | $-75.75 | -44.7% | $-123.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.4 | 732 | 5,424 | 7 | 0.13% | $1,356 | $1,312.5 | $-43.5 | -3.2% | $-549.5 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Chase (Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 678 | 1 | 0.15% | $169.5 | $93.75 | $-75.75 | -44.7% | $-123.5 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 678 | 0 | 0.00% | $169.5 | $0 | $-169.5 | -100.0% | $-169.5 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 0.4 | 732 | 310 | 1 | 0.32% | $77.5 | $93.75 | $16.25 | 21.0% | $-42.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,780 | 16 | 0.24% | $1,695 | $1,500 | $-195 | -11.5% | $-465 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.7 | 732 | 12,204 | 15 | 0.12% | $3,051 | $2,812.5 | $-238.5 | -7.8% | $-910.5 |
| Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,780 | 0 | 0.00% | $1,695 | $0 | $-1,695 | -100.0% | $-1,695 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,780 | 21 | 0.31% | $1,695 | $2,156.25 | $461.25 | 27.2% | $-61.25 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.7 | 732 | 12,204 | 14 | 0.11% | $3,051 | $3,937.5 | $886.5 | 29.1% | $-270 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,780 | 3 | 0.04% | $1,695 | $937.5 | $-757.5 | -44.7% | $-1,177.5 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,780 | 4 | 0.06% | $1,695 | $1,125 | $-570 | -33.6% | $-940 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.6 | 732 | 3,390 | 9 | 0.27% | $847.5 | $843.75 | $-3.75 | -0.4% | $-298.75 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 194.5 | 732 | 142,380 | 360 | 0.25% | $35,595 | $33,750 | $-1,845 | -5.2% | $-1,845 |
Window summary.
9 of 24 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) (+88.4% ROI, net +$220.00)
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$886.50 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$461.25 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) +$220.00
Top Net Dollars: Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) +$886.50 · Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$461.25 · Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) +$220.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) | -$20 | -$330 | -$785 | -$1,695 | -$1,270 | +$3,650 | +$7,235 | 0/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$36 | +$625 | +$462 | +$887 | +$1,914 | +$1,995 | +$2,504 | 6/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | -$20 | +$233 | +$246 | -$195 | -$51 | +$931 | +$1,048 | 5/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$20 | +$45 | +$59 | +$461 | +$230 | +$556 | +$523 | 8/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Pipeline | -$3 | -$45 | -$101 | +$58 | +$290 | +$604 | +$507 | 2/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$20 | +$233 | -$223 | -$758 | +$793 | +$88 | +$485 | 3/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$4 | -$59 | -$129 | -$6 | +$156 | +$398 | +$275 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$8 | +$108 | +$210 | +$220 | +$253 | +$253 | +$253 | 4/10 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Chase - Top 1) | -$2 | -$15 | +$61 | +$44 | +$31 | +$31 | +$31 | 1/10 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | — | -$29 | +$43 | +$16 | +$4 | +$4 | +$4 | 1/9 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Pipeline | -$2 | -$35 | +$34 | +$9 | -$4 | -$4 | -$4 | 1/10 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$36 | -$32 | -$851 | -$239 | -$899 | -$630 | -$27 | 5/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Chase (Top 1) | — | -$10 | -$15 | -$25 | -$33 | -$33 | -$33 | 0/6 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Chase (Top 1) | -$2 | -$33 | -$79 | -$76 | -$71 | -$66 | -$64 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Chase (Anti-Repeat Gate) | -$2 | -$33 | -$79 | -$76 | -$258 | -$253 | -$250 | 1/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$10 | -$165 | -$299 | -$4 | +$115 | -$50 | -$320 | 6/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$16 | -$170 | -$159 | +$144 | -$285 | -$811 | -$418 | 5/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1) | -$2 | -$33 | -$79 | -$170 | -$258 | -$348 | -$439 | 0/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$20 | -$330 | -$785 | -$570 | -$520 | -$663 | -$453 | 3/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$10 | -$71 | +$76 | -$285 | -$729 | -$988 | -$695 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$16 | -$170 | -$347 | +$144 | -$285 | -$811 | -$700 | 4/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$16 | -$264 | -$441 | -$44 | -$754 | -$1,468 | -$1,543 | 5/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$16 | -$264 | -$628 | -$700 | -$566 | -$1,280 | -$1,637 | 3/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$139 | -$743 | -$173 | -$1,845 | -$2,858 | -$7,538 | -$9,878 | 3/12 |