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RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 477 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.22 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/07/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A+C · Dynamic Circuit Breaker (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Sit Out
5 ✓ Sit Out
6 ✓ Sit Out
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#992
Night (2026-09-03)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

027 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
027 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 2 drawn in sets: 2&6, 5&2, 7&2 (from 672 Evening 2026-09-03) · 7 pairs frequently with 5, 2, 0, 1 (from 672 Evening 2026-09-03) [RB9 Root 9 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 992)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 97.6%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 256 -48.8% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 2 1 50.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.40% 0.39% -0.01%
Capital Invested $125.00 $85.75 +$61.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$25.00 -$10.75 -$35.75 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 20.0% -12.5% -32.5% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)

⚡ Recent Form Window

Evaluated across 549 drawings (2026-03-08 → 2026-09-06). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$323 (9.3% ROI across 13,860 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$119.25
Return on Investment -100.0%
Hit Rate 0.00%
Max Drawdown -$-119.25
Active Drawings 549
Total Plays Placed 477
Total Winning Hits 0
Gross Revenue $0

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $119.25
Total Payout (Gross) $0
Net Profit / Loss -$119.25
Final Bankroll $380.75
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-119.25. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-178.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$4.5
-100.0% ROI
-$51
-100.0% ROI
-$119.25
-100.0% ROI
-$30.75
-12.0% ROI
+$220.5
41.6% ROI
+$246
30.6% ROI
+$322.5
9.3% ROI
2 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $86 $0 -$86 0 -100.0%
2011 $180.75 $187.5 +$6.75 3 3.7%
2012 $181.75 $75 -$106.75 2 -58.7%
2013 $182.25 $300 +$117.75 5 64.6%
2014 $182.5 $37.5 -$145 1 -79.5%
2015 $182 $37.5 -$144.5 1 -79.4%
2016 $183 $150 -$33 3 -18.0%
2017 $182.5 $187.5 +$5 5 2.7%
2018 $182.5 $225 +$42.5 5 23.3%
2019 $182.5 $75 -$107.5 1 -58.9%
2020 $183 $337.5 +$154.5 6 84.4%
2021 $273.75 $487.5 +$213.75 10 78.1%
2022 $273.75 $412.5 +$138.75 8 50.7%
2023 $273.75 $225 -$48.75 6 -17.8%
2024 $274.5 $375 +$100.5 8 36.6%
2025 $273.75 $675 +$401.25 11 146.6%
2026 $186.75 $0 -$186.75 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-04 $-23
26-05 $-23
26-06 $-23
26-07 $-23
26-08 $-23
26-09 $-5