Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,024 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/07/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#372
Midday (2026-09-04)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

234 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
234 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 0 or 7 brings 42 pair (14x in Cici's Sep 2026 notes) (from 672 Evening 2026-09-03) · 9: look for 3 or 7 to follow (from 992 Night 2026-09-03) — contains digit 3 [RB9 Root 9 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 372)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 98.8%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 94 -81.2% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 1 1 100.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.20% 1.06% +0.86%
Capital Invested $125.00 $31.50 +$101.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$87.50 +$6.00 +$93.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -70.0% 19.0% +89.0% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,096 drawings (2025-09-07 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$660 (19.0% ROI across 13,861 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$106
Return on Investment -41.4%
Hit Rate 0.20%
Max Drawdown -$-187
Active Drawings 1,096
Total Plays Placed 1,024
Total Winning Hits 2
Gross Revenue $150
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
double 2x Double ($75.00)
2 hits
+$150

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $256
Total Payout (Gross) $150
Net Profit / Loss -$106
Final Bankroll $394
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-187.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-280.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$4.75
-100.0% ROI
-$51.25
-100.0% ROI
-$119.5
-100.0% ROI
-$106
-41.4% ROI
-$79.75
-15.1% ROI
+$20.75
2.6% ROI
+$659.75
19.0% ROI
2 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2010 $86 $0 -$86 0 -100.0%
2011 $180.75 $187.5 +$6.75 4 3.7%
2012 $181.75 $112.5 -$69.25 2 -38.1%
2013 $182.25 $337.5 +$155.25 5 85.2%
2014 $182.5 $0 -$182.5 0 -100.0%
2015 $182 $187.5 +$5.5 3 3.0%
2016 $183 $262.5 +$79.5 5 43.4%
2017 $182.5 $187.5 +$5 4 2.7%
2018 $182.5 $300 +$117.5 6 64.4%
2019 $182.5 $262.5 +$80 4 43.8%
2020 $183 $412.5 +$229.5 7 125.4%
2021 $273.75 $412.5 +$138.75 8 50.7%
2022 $273.75 $450 +$176.25 9 64.4%
2023 $273.75 $337.5 +$63.75 8 23.3%
2024 $274.5 $337.5 +$63 7 23.0%
2025 $273.75 $337.5 +$63.75 7 23.3%
2026 $187 $0 -$187 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $52
25-11 $-23
25-12 $52
26-01 $-23
26-02 $-21
26-03 $-23
26-04 $-23
26-05 $-23
26-06 $-23
26-07 $-23
26-08 $-23
26-09 $-5

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

2 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.0
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
50.0%
1 of 2 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 3
1 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 2 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 3 ★ 1 drops (50.0%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 6 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 7 1 drops (50.0%)
Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 10 0 drops (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

003 1 hits 788 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 2)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2025-12-02 Night 878 788 double 2x Double +$75.00 58: look for 78 and/or 30 pair (from 858 Evening 2025-12-01) · 9: look for 3 or 7 to follow (from 973 Night 2025-12-01) — contains digit 7 [RB9 Root 5 Aligned] · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 973)
2025-10-02 Night 030 003 double 2x Double +$75.00 58: look for 78 and/or 30 pair (from 185 Evening 2025-09-30) · sums 14 & 13: watch for false trips and more doubles (from 185 Evening 2025-09-30) — doubles favored [RB9 Root 3 Aligned] · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 185)