Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,840 total plays 10.0 families/draw
Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 10.0 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.50 (10.0 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/05/2026
Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.
| Family | Type | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 257 | distinct | 1062 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (6.37x overdue) |
| 023 | distinct | 851 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.11x overdue) |
| 018 | distinct | 848 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.09x overdue) |
| 339 | double | 1660 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.98x overdue) |
| 599 | double | 1560 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.68x overdue) |
| 014 | distinct | 772 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.63x overdue) |
| 046 | distinct | 681 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.09x overdue) |
| 477 | double | 1273 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.82x overdue) |
| 222 | triple | 3682 draws since last hit — expected ~1000 (3.68x overdue) |
| 777 | triple | 3682 draws since last hit — expected ~1000 (3.68x overdue) |
📊 Key performance metrics (3 months walk-forward)
Evaluated across 184 drawings (2026-06-03 → 2026-09-02). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-1,305 (-20.9% ROI across 2,502 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$10
-100.0% ROI |
-$170
-53.1% ROI |
-$362.5
-46.8% ROI |
-$372.5
-22.1% ROI |
-$697.5
-19.9% ROI |
-$1,177.5
-22.1% ROI |
-$1,305
-20.9% ROI |
3 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $1,375 | $1,125 | -$250 | 30 | -18.2% |
| 2024 | $1,830 | $1,200 | -$630 | 27 | -34.4% |
| 2025 | $1,825 | $1,725 | -$100 | 35 | -5.5% |
| 2026 | $1,225 | $900 | -$325 | 14 | -26.5% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 6)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Evening | 711 | 117 | +$75.00 | 1410 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.23x overdue) |
| 2026-07-31 | Midday | 918 | 189 | +$37.50 | 627 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.76x overdue) |
| 2026-07-12 | Midday | 170 | 017 | +$37.50 | 769 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.61x overdue) |
| 2026-06-19 | Evening | 511 | 115 | +$75.00 | 1551 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.65x overdue) |
| 2026-06-13 | Evening | 748 | 478 | +$37.50 | 594 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.56x overdue) |
| 2026-06-07 | Midday | 133 | 133 | +$75.00 | 1585 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.75x overdue) |