Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 14,620 total plays 10.0 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws Day 🌙 Night

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 10.0 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.50 (10.0 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Night · 09/05/2026

Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.

135 distinct 088 double 226 double 029 distinct 348 distinct 389 distinct 566 double 345 distinct 047 distinct 112 double

Family	Type	Selection Reason
135	distinct	1030 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (6.18x overdue)
088	double	1771 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.31x overdue)
226	double	1754 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.26x overdue)
029	distinct	683 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.10x overdue)
348	distinct	648 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.89x overdue)
389	distinct	644 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.86x overdue)
566	double	1281 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.84x overdue)
345	distinct	633 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.80x overdue)
047	distinct	587 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.52x overdue)
112	double	1105 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.32x overdue)

📊 Key performance metrics (2 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 1,462 drawings (2024-09-04 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-340 (-5.4% ROI across 2,506 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$17.5

Return on Investment -0.5%

Hit Rate 0.47%

Max Drawdown -$-310

Active Drawings 1,462

Total Plays Placed 14,620

Total Winning Hits 69

Gross Revenue $3,637.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

45 hits

+$1,687.5

double 2x Double ($75.00)

23 hits

+$1,725

triple 6x Prize ($225.00)

1 hits

+$225

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $3,655

Total Payout (Gross) $3,637.5

Net Profit / Loss -$17.5

Final Bankroll $482.5

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-310.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-465.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$20 -100.0% ROI	-$142.5 -43.2% ROI	+$115 14.6% ROI	-$45 -2.7% ROI	+$5 0.1% ROI	-$137.5 -2.6% ROI	-$340 -5.4% ROI	4 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,375	$937.5	-$437.5	25	-31.8%
2024	$1,830	$1,762.5	-$67.5	34	-3.7%
2025	$1,825	$1,725	-$100	36	-5.5%
2026	$1,235	$1,500	+$265	25	21.5%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

24-09 $-23

24-10 $-43

24-11 $-38

24-12 $-80

25-01 $33

25-02 $-65

25-03 $33

25-04 $0

25-05 $70

25-06 $75

25-07 $-43

25-08 $-80

25-09 $188

25-10 $-118

25-11 $-75

25-12 $-118

26-01 $33

26-02 $10

26-03 $108

26-04 $-75

26-05 $333

26-06 $0

26-07 $-118

26-08 $-5

26-09 $-20

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

036 2 hits 299 2 hits 367 2 hits 369 2 hits 457 2 hits 669 2 hits 001 1 hits 005 1 hits 012 1 hits 013 1 hits 016 1 hits 017 1 hits 018 1 hits 022 1 hits 023 1 hits 024 1 hits 033 1 hits 049 1 hits 068 1 hits 078 1 hits 099 1 hits 111 1 hits 113 1 hits 137 1 hits 138 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-23	Day	745	457	distinct	+$37.50	560 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.36x overdue)
2026-08-08	Night	197	179	distinct	+$37.50	537 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.22x overdue)
2026-08-04	Day	771	177	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1574 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.72x overdue)
2026-07-30	Night	870	078	distinct	+$37.50	565 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.39x overdue)
2026-06-24	Night	419	149	distinct	+$37.50	495 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.97x overdue)
2026-06-24	Day	409	049	distinct	+$37.50	517 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.10x overdue)
2026-06-02	Night	303	033	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1121 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.36x overdue)
2026-05-30	Night	111	111	triple 6x Prize	+$225.00	3491 draws since last hit — expected ~1000 (3.49x overdue)
2026-05-28	Day	158	158	distinct	+$37.50	464 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.78x overdue)
2026-05-20	Night	639	369	distinct	+$37.50	477 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.86x overdue)
2026-05-18	Night	669	669	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1055 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.17x overdue)
2026-05-03	Day	992	299	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1063 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.19x overdue)
2026-05-02	Night	603	036	distinct	+$37.50	486 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (2.92x overdue)
2026-04-30	Day	381	138	distinct	+$37.50	595 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.57x overdue)
2026-04-06	Day	860	068	distinct	+$37.50	772 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.63x overdue)
2026-03-28	Night	343	334	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1182 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.55x overdue)
2026-03-26	Night	244	244	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1286 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.86x overdue)
2026-03-23	Night	618	168	distinct	+$37.50	721 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.33x overdue)
2026-03-14	Night	633	336	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1678 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.03x overdue)
2026-02-20	Day	710	017	distinct	+$37.50	1240 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (7.44x overdue)
2026-02-17	Day	535	355	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1365 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.10x overdue)
2026-02-12	Night	873	378	distinct	+$37.50	633 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.80x overdue)
2026-01-22	Night	878	788	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1294 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.88x overdue)
2026-01-14	Day	662	266	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1158 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (3.47x overdue)
2026-01-02	Night	896	689	distinct	+$37.50	622 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.73x overdue)