Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 63 total plays 0.7 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.7 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.17 (0.7 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 477 | double | Hold Draw 7 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 9, Cici Master Quad (4-9-7-1), Shield Safe, LLN Deficit (z=+3.74), ⚡ Mirror Echo (323)) · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 683) |
| 778 | double | Hold Draw 7 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 4, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, LLN Deficit (z=+2.48), ⚡ Mirror Echo (323)) · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 683) |
| 235 | distinct | Hold Draw 7 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 1, Date Harmony, Shield Safe, Overdue (123 skips), ⚡ Echo Pair (323)) · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 683) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 1,500 | 51 | -96.6% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 7 | 2 | 28.6% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.47% | 3.92% | +3.45% |
| Capital Invested | $375.00 | $17.25 | +$362.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$112.50 | +$132.75 | +$20.25 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 30.0% | 769.6% | +739.6% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 93 drawings (2026-08-08 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-1,285 (-12.4% ROI across 13,863 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$15.75
-100.0% ROI |
-$5.25
-3.4% ROI |
-$22.5
-6.3% ROI |
+$18
2.3% ROI |
+$321.75
20.2% ROI |
+$98.25
4.1% ROI |
-$1,284.75
-12.4% ROI |
5 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $258 | $225 | -$33 | 4 | -12.8% |
| 2011 | $542.25 | $412.5 | -$129.75 | 8 | -23.9% |
| 2012 | $545.25 | $337.5 | -$207.75 | 7 | -38.1% |
| 2013 | $546.75 | $412.5 | -$134.25 | 9 | -24.6% |
| 2014 | $547.5 | $637.5 | +$90 | 13 | 16.4% |
| 2015 | $546 | $825 | +$279 | 15 | 51.1% |
| 2016 | $549 | $525 | -$24 | 9 | -4.4% |
| 2017 | $547.5 | $637.5 | +$90 | 10 | 16.4% |
| 2018 | $547.5 | $337.5 | -$210 | 6 | -38.4% |
| 2019 | $547.5 | $450 | -$97.5 | 7 | -17.8% |
| 2020 | $549 | $337.5 | -$211.5 | 6 | -38.5% |
| 2021 | $821.25 | $412.5 | -$408.75 | 7 | -49.8% |
| 2022 | $821.25 | $600 | -$221.25 | 10 | -26.9% |
| 2023 | $821.25 | $637.5 | -$183.75 | 12 | -22.4% |
| 2024 | $823.5 | $562.5 | -$261 | 10 | -31.7% |
| 2025 | $821.25 | $975 | +$153.75 | 14 | 18.7% |
| 2026 | $562.5 | $787.5 | +$225 | 12 | 40.0% |