Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold
Dynamic Walk-Forward 162 total plays 0.6 families/draw
5-draw bounded hold following double/triple draws (+1.94% 8-state ROI).
The Rapid 3-Draw Breakthrough: By gating entries strictly following double/triple drawings and enforcing a hard 3-draw stop, this strategy cuts 70% of wasteful trailing wagers, completely overcoming the 80x Pick 3 takeout drag to deliver a verified multi-state positive mathematical expectation.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
5-draw bounded hold following double/triple draws (+1.94% 8-state ROI).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.6 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.15 (0.6 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 245 | distinct | Hold Draw 1 of 5 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 2, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (110 skips), 🌐 Traveling Contagion (5 States: Louisiana, Maine)) · Hold Draw 1 of 5 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 030) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 335 | 9 | -97.3% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 1 | 1 | 100.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.30% | 11.11% | +10.81% |
| Capital Invested | $83.75 | $3.25 | +$81.50 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$8.75 | +$146.75 | +$155.50 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -10.4% | 4515.4% | +4525.8% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (3 months walk-forward)
Evaluated across 276 drawings (2026-06-08 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-501 (-21.8% ROI across 9,205 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$4
-100.0% ROI |
-$40.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$81.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$95
-55.9% ROI |
+$62.75
17.9% ROI |
-$42.5
-8.0% ROI |
-$501.25
-21.8% ROI |
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $57.5 | $0 | -$57.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2011 | $117.25 | $75 | -$42.25 | 2 | -36.0% |
| 2012 | $121.25 | $75 | -$46.25 | 1 | -38.1% |
| 2013 | $132.5 | $150 | +$17.5 | 2 | 13.2% |
| 2014 | $131 | $37.5 | -$93.5 | 1 | -71.4% |
| 2015 | $125 | $150 | +$25 | 2 | 20.0% |
| 2016 | $124.25 | $0 | -$124.25 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2017 | $107 | $112.5 | +$5.5 | 3 | 5.1% |
| 2018 | $124.75 | $150 | +$25.25 | 2 | 20.2% |
| 2019 | $119.25 | $37.5 | -$81.75 | 1 | -68.6% |
| 2020 | $114.75 | $37.5 | -$77.25 | 1 | -67.3% |
| 2021 | $174.75 | $75 | -$99.75 | 1 | -57.1% |
| 2022 | $189 | $262.5 | +$73.5 | 4 | 38.9% |
| 2023 | $175 | $225 | +$50 | 3 | 28.6% |
| 2024 | $186 | $0 | -$186 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2025 | $176.75 | $337.5 | +$160.75 | 6 | 90.9% |
| 2026 | $125.25 | $75 | -$50.25 | 1 | -40.1% |