Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold
Dynamic Walk-Forward 680 total plays 0.6 families/draw
5-draw bounded hold following double/triple draws (+1.94% 8-state ROI).
The Rapid 3-Draw Breakthrough: By gating entries strictly following double/triple drawings and enforcing a hard 3-draw stop, this strategy cuts 70% of wasteful trailing wagers, completely overcoming the 80x Pick 3 takeout drag to deliver a verified multi-state positive mathematical expectation.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
5-draw bounded hold following double/triple draws (+1.94% 8-state ROI).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.6 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.15 (0.6 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Night · 09/07/2026
Hold Radar Active — Awaiting Trigger Drawing
No qualifying trigger condition was detected in the most recent drawing, or this strategy is resting outside its designated draw slot (all draws). As soon as the next qualifying number is drawn, the engine automatically initializes the 5-draw hold countdown.
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 335 | 9 | -97.3% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 1 | 1 | 100.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.30% | 11.11% | +10.81% |
| Capital Invested | $83.75 | $3.25 | +$81.50 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$8.75 | +$146.75 | +$155.50 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -10.4% | 4515.4% | +4525.8% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 1,097 drawings (2025-09-07 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-539 (-23.4% ROI across 9,206 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$4
-100.0% ROI |
-$40.5
-100.0% ROI |
-$81.25
-100.0% ROI |
-$95
-55.9% ROI |
+$25
7.1% ROI |
-$80.25
-15.1% ROI |
-$539
-23.4% ROI |
1 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $57.5 | $0 | -$57.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2011 | $117.25 | $75 | -$42.25 | 2 | -36.0% |
| 2012 | $121.25 | $75 | -$46.25 | 1 | -38.1% |
| 2013 | $132.5 | $150 | +$17.5 | 2 | 13.2% |
| 2014 | $131 | $37.5 | -$93.5 | 1 | -71.4% |
| 2015 | $125 | $150 | +$25 | 2 | 20.0% |
| 2016 | $124.25 | $0 | -$124.25 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2017 | $107 | $112.5 | +$5.5 | 3 | 5.1% |
| 2018 | $124.75 | $150 | +$25.25 | 2 | 20.2% |
| 2019 | $119.25 | $37.5 | -$81.75 | 1 | -68.6% |
| 2020 | $114.75 | $37.5 | -$77.25 | 1 | -67.3% |
| 2021 | $174.75 | $75 | -$99.75 | 1 | -57.1% |
| 2022 | $189 | $262.5 | +$73.5 | 4 | 38.9% |
| 2023 | $175 | $225 | +$50 | 3 | 28.6% |
| 2024 | $186 | $0 | -$186 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2025 | $177 | $300 | +$123 | 5 | 69.5% |
| 2026 | $125.25 | $75 | -$50.25 | 1 | -40.1% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
1 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 1)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | Night | 992 | 299 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 2, Cici Master Quad (9-4-2-6), Shield Safe, Overdue (602 skips, z=+3.39)) · Hold Draw 5 of 5 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 331) |