Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,702 total plays 0.8 families/draw

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.8 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.19 (0.8 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/13/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 2 of 10
⚡ ACTIVE STRIKE (HOLD 2/10) · $0.50 STAKE (VELOCITY ATTACK)
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 2 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ▶ ACTIVE
3 $0.50
4 $0.25
5 $0.25
6 $0.25
7 $0.25
8 $0.25
9 $0.25
10 $0.00
Trigger Drawing
#692
Midday (2026-09-08)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$0.50
$0.25/draw × 2 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$75.00 (Double Prize)
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$74.50
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

788 double
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
788 double Hold Draw 2 of 10 followed number 311 1/3x within 10 draws · followed number 073 2/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 692)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: REGIME SPECIALIST
Ticket Waste Index: 104.7%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 407 18 -95.6% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 4 1 25.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.98% 5.56% +4.57%
Capital Invested $101.75 $5.75 +$97.25 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$48.25 +$31.75 -$16.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 47.4% 552.2% +504.8% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (3 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 2,194 drawings (2023-09-08 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$63 (12.7% ROI across 1,997 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$62
Return on Investment 14.6%
Hit Rate 0.71%
Max Drawdown -$-102.75
Active Drawings 2,194
Total Plays Placed 1,702
Total Winning Hits 12
Gross Revenue $487.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
11 hits
+$412.5
double 2x Double ($75.00)
1 hits
+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $425.5
Total Payout (Gross) $487.5
Net Profit / Loss +$62
Final Bankroll $562
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-102.75. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-154.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$3.5
-100.0% ROI
+$8.75
30.4% ROI
-$26.75
-41.6% ROI
+$51
37.4% ROI
+$128.75
45.4% ROI
+$62
14.6% ROI
+$63.25
12.7% ROI
5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $114.75 $75 -$39.75 2 -34.6%
2024 $136.75 $75 -$61.75 2 -45.2%
2025 $145.75 $262.5 +$116.75 6 80.1%
2026 $102 $150 +$48 4 47.1%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-10 $-15
23-11 $-12
23-12 $-14
24-01 $-12
24-02 $-6
24-03 $27
24-04 $-14
24-05 $-12
24-06 $-9
24-07 $-13
24-08 $24
24-09 $-13
24-10 $-10
24-11 $-12
24-12 $-14
25-01 $61
25-02 $-14
25-03 $25
25-04 $64
25-05 $-12
25-06 $-12
25-07 $25
25-08 $-14
25-09 $-10
25-10 $-10
25-11 $-12
25-12 $25
26-01 $24
26-02 $25
26-03 $25
26-04 $-12
26-05 $-12
26-06 $-13
26-07 $26
26-08 $-13
26-09 $-4

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

12 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.0
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
41.7%
5 of 12 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 5
3 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 2 drops (16.7%)
Draw 2 2 drops (16.7%)
Draw 3 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 ★ 3 drops (25.0%)
Draw 6 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 7 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 8 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 9 2 drops (16.7%)
Draw 10 1 drops (8.3%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

015 1 hits 028 1 hits 034 1 hits 077 1 hits 149 1 hits 158 1 hits 256 1 hits 258 1 hits 279 1 hits 367 1 hits 579 1 hits 679 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 12)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-07-08 Midday 419 149 distinct +$37.50 Double relative: 491 · followed family 689 1/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 266)
2026-03-14 Midday 579 579 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 707 -> 597 · followed family 345 1/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 707)
2026-02-17 Evening 256 256 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 757 -> 652 · followed family 235 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 757)
2026-01-16 Evening 285 258 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 166 -> 285 · followed number 829 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 166)
2025-12-22 Evening 637 367 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 322 -> 736 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 322)
2025-07-31 Evening 304 034 distinct +$37.50 followed number 088 1/3x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 088 -> 403 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 088)
2025-04-22 Midday 077 077 double 2x Double +$75.00 Book followed-by: 494 -> 707 · followed family 679 1/14x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 494)
2025-03-24 Evening 581 158 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 566 -> 518 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 566)
2025-01-09 Midday 967 679 distinct +$37.50 Double relative: 769 · followed family 136 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 499)
2025-01-03 Evening 082 028 distinct +$37.50 followed number 440 1/3x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 440 -> 280 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 440)
2024-08-12 Evening 105 015 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 877 -> 105 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 877)
2024-03-21 Evening 927 279 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 177 -> 297 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 177)