Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder

Dynamic Walk-Forward 236 total plays 2.3 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws Morning Day 🌆 Evening 🌙 Night

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 2.3 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.57 (2.3 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Morning · 09/13/2026

🪜 ROLLING HOLD LADDER 10 Active Numbers on Ladder

Staggered 10-Draw Individual Clocks

Every candidate number runs on its own independent hold countdown clock. When a number drops, it exits the ladder immediately to secure profit. If it reaches 10 draws without dropping, the 10-draw cut-off expires the pick to prevent runaway losses.

Family	Pattern	Hold Draw & Progress Meter	Trigger Origin	Invested	Net if Dropped	Trigger Rationale
167	distinct	Hold Draw 10/10 Final Draw 0 left	#402 2026-09-09 · Night	$2.50	+$35.00	followed family 133 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 313 -> 716
123	distinct	Hold Draw 9/10 Late Stage 1 left	#728 2026-09-10 · Day	$2.25	+$35.25	followed number 402 2/5x within 10 draws · followed family 024 2/23x within 10 draws
145	distinct	Hold Draw 8/10 Late Stage 2 left	#425 2026-09-10 · Evening	$2.00	+$35.50	followed number 728 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 278 6/22x within 10 draws
024	distinct	Hold Draw 7/10 Mid Stage 3 left	#184 2026-09-10 · Night	$1.75	+$35.75	followed number 425 1/4x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 425 -> 420
048	distinct	Hold Draw 6/10 Mid Stage 4 left	#232 2026-09-11 · Morning	$1.50	+$36.00	Book followed-by: 184 -> 408 · followed number 425 2/4x within 10 draws
078	distinct	Hold Draw 5/10 Mid Stage 5 left	#448 2026-09-11 · Day	$1.25	+$36.25	Book followed-by: 232 -> 870 · followed number 184 1/5x within 10 draws
037	distinct	Hold Draw 4/10 Mid Stage 6 left	#129 2026-09-11 · Evening	$1.00	+$36.50	followed number 448 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 448 1/14x within 10 draws
139	distinct	Hold Draw 3/10 Early Stage 7 left	#273 2026-09-11 · Night	$0.75	+$36.75	followed number 129 2/5x within 10 draws · followed family 129 2/27x within 10 draws
235	distinct	Hold Draw 2/10 Early Stage 8 left	#366 2026-09-12 · Morning	$0.50	+$37.00	followed number 273 1/6x within 10 draws · followed family 237 2/26x within 10 draws
367	distinct	Hold Draw 1/10 Early Stage 9 left	#891 2026-09-12 · Day	$0.25	+$37.25	followed number 366 2/7x within 10 draws · followed family 366 3/21x within 10 draws

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: CONVEYOR BELT

Ticket Waste Index: 77.3%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	4,391	1,000	-77.2% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	31	10	32.3% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.71%	1.00%	+0.29%
Capital Invested	$1097.75	$250.00	+$847.75 saved
Net Profit / Loss	+$102.25	+$162.50	+$60.25 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	9.3%	65.0%	+55.7% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 104 drawings (2026-08-13 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-756 (-7.6% ROI across 4,436 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$21.5

Return on Investment -36.4%

Hit Rate 0.42%

Max Drawdown -$-21.5

Active Drawings 104

Total Plays Placed 236

Total Winning Hits 1

Gross Revenue $37.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

7 hits

+$262.5

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $59

Total Payout (Gross) $37.5

Net Profit / Loss -$21.5

Final Bankroll $478.5

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-21.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-32.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$21.5 -36.4% ROI	+$44 8.5% ROI	+$177 14.6% ROI	-$82.75 -3.2% ROI	-$480.75 -8.9% ROI	-$706.5 -8.6% ROI	-$755.75 -7.6% ROI	5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$2,412.5	$2,250	-$162.5	56	-6.7%
2024	$2,846.75	$2,700	-$146.75	68	-5.2%
2025	$2,782	$2,287.5	-$494.5	60	-17.8%
2026	$1,902	$1,950	+$48	50	2.5%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-09 $-22

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

7 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 5.3

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

28.6%

2 of 7 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 1

2 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 ★ 2 drops (28.6%)

Draw 2 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 5 1 drops (14.3%)

Draw 6 1 drops (14.3%)

Draw 7 2 drops (28.6%)

Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 9 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 10 1 drops (14.3%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

023 1 hits 079 1 hits 139 1 hits 149 1 hits 168 1 hits 238 1 hits 378 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 7)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-09-07	Evening	861	168	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 128: followed number 128 2/9x within 10 draws · followed family 128 2/31x within 10 draws
2026-08-28	Day	378	378	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 198: Book followed-by: 198 -> 387 · followed number 222 1/4x within 10 draws
2026-08-27	Day	382	238	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 891: followed number 891 2/7x within 10 draws · followed family 189 2/28x within 10 draws
2026-08-26	Night	319	139	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 870: followed family 078 5/33x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 870 -> 139
2026-08-26	Morning	302	023	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 646: Book followed-by: 646 -> 032
2026-08-24	Day	491	149	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 367: Book followed-by: 367 -> 194 · followed number 571 1/4x within 10 draws
2026-08-13	Evening	079	079	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 10 of 10] from 720: followed number 720 1/7x within 10 draws · followed family 027 4/30x within 10 draws