Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 11,960 total plays 4.8 families/draw

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 4.8 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$1.19 (4.8 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Morning · 09/13/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#402
Night (2026-09-09)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$12.50
$1.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$25.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

167 distinct 236 distinct 034 distinct 257 distinct 128 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
167 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 followed family 133 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 313 -> 716 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 402)
236 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 followed family 133 5/13x within 10 draws · followed number 335 1/5x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 402)
034 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 followed family 133 3/13x within 10 draws · followed number 335 1/5x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 402)
257 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 followed family 133 2/13x within 10 draws · followed number 335 1/5x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 402)
128 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 followed family 133 2/13x within 10 draws · followed number 335 1/5x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 402)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 86.1%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 2,500 93 -96.3% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 20 1 5.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.80% 1.08% +0.28%
Capital Invested $625.00 $32.25 +$595.75 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$162.50 +$42.75 -$119.75 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 26.0% 132.6% +106.6% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (2 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 2,504 drawings (2024-09-12 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-465 (-10.1% ROI across 4,436 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$65
Return on Investment -2.2%
Hit Rate 0.64%
Max Drawdown -$-227.5
Active Drawings 2,504
Total Plays Placed 11,960
Total Winning Hits 76
Gross Revenue $2,925
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
75 hits
+$2,812.5
double 2x Double ($75.00)
2 hits
+$150

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $2,990
Total Payout (Gross) $2,925
Net Profit / Loss -$65
Final Bankroll $435
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-227.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-341.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$35
-100.0% ROI
+$75
25.0% ROI
-$52.5
-7.6% ROI
-$7.5
-0.5% ROI
-$65
-2.2% ROI
-$427.75
-10.1% ROI
-$465.5
-10.1% ROI
5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $605.5 $412.5 -$193 11 -31.9%
2024 $1,400 $1,050 -$350 26 -25.0%
2025 $1,547.5 $1,687.5 +$140 43 9.0%
2026 $1,075 $1,012.5 -$62.5 27 -5.8%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

24-10 $-15
24-11 $-120
24-12 $-8
25-01 $70
25-02 $-83
25-03 $58
25-04 $133
25-05 $-98
25-06 $-13
25-07 $-23
25-08 $-55
25-09 $95
25-10 $15
25-11 $-13
25-12 $53
26-01 $90
26-02 $-45
26-03 $-55
26-04 $-93
26-05 $-18
26-06 $-18
26-07 $15
26-08 $95
26-09 $-35

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

77 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.8
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
29.9%
23 of 77 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 9
12 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 8 drops (10.4%)
Draw 2 11 drops (14.3%)
Draw 3 4 drops (5.2%)
Draw 4 3 drops (3.9%)
Draw 5 9 drops (11.7%)
Draw 6 6 drops (7.8%)
Draw 7 8 drops (10.4%)
Draw 8 5 drops (6.5%)
Draw 9 ★ 12 drops (15.6%)
Draw 10 11 drops (14.3%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

069 3 hits 145 3 hits 146 3 hits 029 2 hits 034 2 hits 037 2 hits 045 2 hits 046 2 hits 048 2 hits 068 2 hits 078 2 hits 149 2 hits 235 2 hits 238 2 hits 246 2 hits 279 2 hits 367 2 hits 458 2 hits 012 1 hits 014 1 hits 015 1 hits 016 1 hits 019 1 hits 025 1 hits 035 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-24 Day 491 149 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 367 -> 194 · followed number 571 1/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 367)
2026-08-24 Morning 367 367 distinct +$37.50 followed number 690 1/5x within 10 draws · followed family 069 4/33x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 690)
2026-08-21 Morning 690 069 distinct +$37.50 followed number 302 2/8x within 10 draws · followed family 023 5/32x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 302)
2026-08-17 Night 319 139 distinct +$37.50 followed number 822 2/8x within 10 draws · followed family 228 3/15x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 822)
2026-08-11 Night 253 235 distinct +$37.50 followed number 195 4/8x within 10 draws · followed family 159 6/36x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 195)
2026-08-05 Night 416 146 distinct +$37.50 Pro-Zo relative: 614 · followed number 239 1/5x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 047)
2026-07-25 Night 265 256 distinct +$37.50 followed family 038 5/25x within 10 draws · followed number 721 1/9x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 803)
2026-07-23 Evening 803 038 distinct +$37.50 followed number 852 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 258 2/18x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 852)
2026-07-16 Evening 927 279 distinct +$37.50 followed family 058 3/25x within 10 draws · followed number 051 1/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 085)
2026-07-04 Night 306 036 distinct +$37.50 followed family 156 2/10x within 10 draws · followed number 918 1/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 615)
2026-06-19 Night 547 457 distinct +$37.50 followed number 729 2/10x within 10 draws · followed family 279 4/38x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 729)
2026-06-09 Night 642 246 distinct +$37.50 followed number 574 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 457 5/17x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 574)
2026-06-04 Morning 378 378 distinct +$37.50 followed number 915 3/9x within 10 draws · followed family 159 6/32x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 915)
2026-05-28 Day 178 178 distinct +$37.50 followed number 548 2/5x within 10 draws · followed family 458 5/37x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 548)
2026-05-26 Evening 548 458 distinct +$37.50 followed number 163 3/5x within 10 draws · followed family 136 7/22x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 163)
2026-05-18 Morning 519 159 distinct +$37.50 followed number 489 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 489 5/29x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 489)
2026-04-22 Night 235 235 distinct +$37.50 followed number 772 1/5x within 10 draws · followed family 277 1/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 772)
2026-03-28 Evening 328 238 distinct +$37.50 followed number 697 1/5x within 10 draws · followed family 679 5/32x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 697)
2026-03-10 Evening 079 079 distinct +$37.50 followed number 540 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 045 2/32x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 540)
2026-02-24 Evening 780 078 distinct +$37.50 followed number 220 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 022 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 220)
2026-02-12 Morning 285 258 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 253 -> 852 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 253)
2026-01-30 Evening 068 068 distinct +$37.50 followed number 652 4/5x within 10 draws · followed family 256 6/26x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 652)
2026-01-22 Day 920 029 distinct +$37.50 followed number 501 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 015 2/21x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 501)
2026-01-21 Night 501 015 distinct +$37.50 followed number 318 1/5x within 10 draws · followed family 138 4/25x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 318)
2026-01-20 Morning 318 138 distinct +$37.50 followed family 149 4/20x within 10 draws · followed number 007 1/6x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 419)