Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 4,436 total plays 1.0 families/draw

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 1.0 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.24 (1.0 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Morning · 09/13/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#402
Night (2026-09-09)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

167 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
167 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 followed family 133 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 313 -> 716 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 402)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 102.6%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 96 -80.8% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 5 1 20.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 1.00% 1.04% +0.04%
Capital Invested $125.00 $32.25 +$101.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$62.50 +$5.25 -$57.25 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 50.0% 16.3% -33.7% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (5 years walk-forward)

Multi-Year Consistency Window

Evaluated across 4,628 drawings (2023-01-02 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$91 (8.2% ROI across 4,436 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$91
Return on Investment 8.2%
Hit Rate 0.65%
Max Drawdown -$-173
Active Drawings 4,628
Total Plays Placed 4,436
Total Winning Hits 29
Gross Revenue $1,200
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
26 hits
+$975
double 2x Double ($75.00)
3 hits
+$225

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $1,109
Total Payout (Gross) $1,200
Net Profit / Loss +$91
Final Bankroll $591
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-173.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-259.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$7
-100.0% ROI
-$22.5
-37.5% ROI
-$25.5
-18.5% ROI
-$69
-23.5% ROI
-$82
-13.5% ROI
+$17.5
1.9% ROI
+$91
8.2% ROI
5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $267 $412.5 +$145.5 10 54.5%
2024 $314 $375 +$61 8 19.4%
2025 $313 $262.5 -$50.5 7 -16.1%
2026 $215 $150 -$65 4 -30.2%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-02 $-5
23-03 $-27
23-04 $13
23-05 $48
23-06 $-26
23-07 $12
23-08 $48
23-09 $12
23-10 $49
23-11 $-26
23-12 $49
24-01 $-27
24-02 $-25
24-03 $-26
24-04 $49
24-05 $-27
24-06 $13
24-07 $11
24-08 $86
24-09 $-25
24-10 $48
24-11 $-26
24-12 $12
25-01 $11
25-02 $-24
25-03 $12
25-04 $49
25-05 $11
25-06 $-25
25-07 $-27
25-08 $-26
25-09 $-26
25-10 $11
25-11 $-25
25-12 $11
26-01 $-27
26-02 $14
26-03 $-26
26-04 $49
26-05 $-26
26-06 $-26
26-07 $11
26-08 $-26
26-09 $-7

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

29 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.1
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
31.0%
9 of 29 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 1
6 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 ★ 6 drops (20.7%)
Draw 2 3 drops (10.3%)
Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4 3 drops (10.3%)
Draw 5 3 drops (10.3%)
Draw 6 3 drops (10.3%)
Draw 7 4 drops (13.8%)
Draw 8 3 drops (10.3%)
Draw 9 2 drops (6.9%)
Draw 10 2 drops (6.9%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

045 2 hits 067 2 hits 146 2 hits 003 1 hits 014 1 hits 035 1 hits 036 1 hits 046 1 hits 047 1 hits 068 1 hits 078 1 hits 124 1 hits 125 1 hits 138 1 hits 139 1 hits 257 1 hits 289 1 hits 348 1 hits 358 1 hits 367 1 hits 455 1 hits 458 1 hits 468 1 hits 479 1 hits 557 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-07-30 Day 845 458 distinct +$37.50 followed number 586 2/6x within 10 draws · followed family 568 6/32x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 586)
2026-04-13 Night 568 568 distinct +$37.50 followed family 289 2/21x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 568 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 892)
2026-04-06 Night 641 146 distinct +$37.50 followed number 916 2/6x within 10 draws · followed family 169 2/24x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 916)
2026-02-10 Morning 752 257 distinct +$37.50 followed number 097 3/4x within 10 draws · followed family 079 5/27x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 097)
2025-12-17 Morning 193 139 distinct +$37.50 followed number 129 1/3x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 129 -> 319 · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 129)
2025-10-11 Morning 421 124 distinct +$37.50 followed family 256 2/21x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 625 -> 214 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 625)
2025-05-12 Morning 608 068 distinct +$37.50 followed number 652 3/4x within 10 draws · followed family 256 5/18x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 652)
2025-04-29 Evening 138 138 distinct +$37.50 followed family 014 2/19x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 140 -> 138 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 140)
2025-04-08 Night 864 468 distinct +$37.50 Double relative: 864 · followed family 345 2/27x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 477)
2025-03-26 Night 087 078 distinct +$37.50 followed number 008 3/5x within 10 draws · followed family 008 4/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 008)
2025-01-11 Night 360 036 distinct +$37.50 followed number 261 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 126 5/15x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 261)
2024-12-02 Night 504 045 distinct +$37.50 followed number 773 1/4x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 773 -> 045 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 773)
2024-10-14 Evening 003 003 double 2x Double +$75.00 Pro-Zo relative: 030 · followed number 232 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 021)
2024-08-29 Morning 125 125 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 786 -> 152 · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 786)
2024-08-13 Morning 557 557 double 2x Double +$75.00 followed family 369 1/16x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 396 -> 755 · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 396)
2024-07-24 Day 740 047 distinct +$37.50 followed number 002 1/3x within 10 draws · followed number 831 1/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 002)
2024-06-17 Evening 350 035 distinct +$37.50 followed family 068 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 806 -> 305 · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 806)
2024-04-06 Morning 410 014 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 811 -> 410 · followed family 078 1/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 811)
2024-04-02 Day 405 045 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 773 -> 045 · followed number 493 1/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 773)
2023-12-08 Evening 479 479 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 146 -> 947 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 146)
2023-12-08 Day 146 146 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 032 -> 164 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 032)
2023-10-14 Morning 067 067 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 191 -> 607 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 191)
2023-10-05 Day 736 367 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 056 -> 367 · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 056)
2023-09-30 Morning 483 348 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 161 -> 384 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 161)
2023-08-12 Night 046 046 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 982 -> 406 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 982)