Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 4,985 total plays 4.0 families/draw

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 4.0 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.99 (4.0 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/07/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 5 of 10
⚡ ACTIVE STRIKE (HOLD 5/10) · $0.25 STAKE (VELOCITY ATTACK)
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 5 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ▶ ACTIVE
6 $0.25
7 $0.25
8 $0.25
9 $0.25
10 $0.00
Trigger Drawing
#7030
Night (2026-09-04)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$6.25
$1.25/draw × 5 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$93.75 (Distinct) · $187.50 (Double)
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$87.50
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

1238 distinct 0015 double 0233 double 0234 distinct 0238 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
1238 distinct Hold Draw 5 of 10 followed family 1379 3/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7030)
0015 double Hold Draw 5 of 10 followed family 1379 2/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7030)
0233 double Hold Draw 5 of 10 followed family 1379 2/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7030)
0234 distinct Hold Draw 5 of 10 followed family 1379 2/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7030)
0238 distinct Hold Draw 5 of 10 followed family 1379 2/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7030)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 97.1%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 2,305 60 -97.4% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 4 1 25.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.17% 1.67% +1.49%
Capital Invested $576.25 $19.50 +$558.25 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$107.50 +$168.00 +$275.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -18.7% 861.5% +880.2% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,256 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-566 (-28.7% ROI across 1,578 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$308.75
Return on Investment -24.8%
Hit Rate 0.18%
Max Drawdown -$-642.5
Active Drawings 1,256
Total Plays Placed 4,985
Total Winning Hits 9
Gross Revenue $937.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($187.50) · Triples pay 6× ($562.50)
double 2x Double ($187.50)
1 hits
+$187.5
distinct Base ($93.75)
8 hits
+$750

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $1,246.25
Total Payout (Gross) $937.5
Net Profit / Loss -$308.75
Final Bankroll $191.25
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-642.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-963.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$25
-100.0% ROI
-$167.5
-64.1% ROI
-$336.25
-54.5% ROI
-$308.75
-24.8% ROI
-$711.25
-36.9% ROI
-$566.25
-28.7% ROI
-$566.25
-28.7% ROI
3 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $0 $0 +$0 0
2024 $67.5 $187.5 +$120 1 177.8%
2025 $981.25 $937.5 -$43.75 9 -4.5%
2026 $923.75 $281.25 -$642.5 3 -69.6%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $264
25-11 $0
25-12 $70
26-01 $-96
26-02 $-109
26-03 $-101
26-04 $-113
26-05 $69
26-06 $-125
26-07 $-111
26-08 $-31
26-09 $-25

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

9 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 6.7
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
11.1%
1 of 9 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 5
3 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 2 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 3 1 drops (11.1%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 ★ 3 drops (33.3%)
Draw 6 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 7 2 drops (22.2%)
Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9 2 drops (22.2%)
Draw 10 1 drops (11.1%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

0034 1 hits 0124 1 hits 0178 1 hits 0239 1 hits 0367 1 hits 0789 1 hits 1248 1 hits 2367 1 hits 3589 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 9)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-10 Morning 0673 0367 distinct +$93.75 followed family 3458 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 8345)
2026-05-28 Night 9708 0789 distinct +$93.75 followed family 0256 3/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0652)
2026-05-12 Night 2930 0239 distinct +$93.75 followed family 4789 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4798)
2025-12-30 Day 2148 1248 distinct +$93.75 followed family 3456 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4563)
2025-12-20 Evening 3267 2367 distinct +$93.75 followed family 0349 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 9304)
2025-11-24 Morning 3859 3589 distinct +$93.75 followed family 3678 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 3867)
2025-10-27 Day 8701 0178 distinct +$93.75 followed family 0789 3/15x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0897)
2025-10-14 Evening 0412 0124 distinct +$93.75 followed family 2468 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4862)
2025-10-10 Evening 3040 0034 double 2x Double +$187.50 followed family 0248 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0428)