Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder
Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,760 total plays 0.6 families/draw
Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.6 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.15 (0.6 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/10/2026
Every candidate number runs on its own independent hold countdown clock. When a number drops, it exits the ladder immediately to secure profit. If it reaches 10 draws without dropping, the 10-draw cut-off expires the pick to prevent runaway losses.
| Family | Pattern | Hold Draw & Progress Meter | Trigger Origin | Invested | Net if Dropped | Trigger Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0136 | distinct |
Mid Stage
4 left
|
#6107
2026-09-08 · Evening |
$1.50 | +$92.25 | followed family 2567 2/10x within 10 draws |
| 0348 | distinct |
Mid Stage
6 left
|
#6905
2026-09-09 · Midday |
$1.00 | +$92.75 | followed family 0167 3/11x within 10 draws |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 1,030 | 706 | -31.5% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 3 | 0 | 0.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.29% | 0.00% | -0.29% |
| Capital Invested | $257.50 | $176.50 | +$81.00 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$211.25 | -$176.50 | -$387.75 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 82.0% | -100.0% | -182.0% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (3 years walk-forward)
Evaluated across 2,976 drawings (2023-09-10 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$123 (27.8% ROI across 997 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
+$71.5
321.3% ROI |
-$53
-36.1% ROI |
+$42.5
17.8% ROI |
+$121.25
34.9% ROI |
+$140
33.1% ROI |
+$122.5
27.8% ROI |
+$122.5
27.8% ROI |
3 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2024 | $20 | $0 | -$20 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2025 | $115.75 | $93.75 | -$22 | 1 | -19.0% |
| 2026 | $304.25 | $468.75 | +$164.5 | 3 | 54.1% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
4 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Evening | 6834 | 3468 | distinct | +$93.75 | [Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 2751: followed family 4579 4/12x within 10 draws |
| 2026-05-15 | Midday | 9700 | 0079 | double 2x Double | +$187.50 | [Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 9844: followed family 4489 2/10x within 10 draws |
| 2026-03-12 | Evening | 6460 | 0466 | double 2x Double | +$187.50 | [Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 4968: followed family 4689 3/11x within 10 draws |
| 2025-05-08 | Evening | 2503 | 0235 | distinct | +$93.75 | [Hold Draw 10 of 10] from 6042: followed family 0246 3/12x within 10 draws |