Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,705 total plays 2.7 families/draw

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 2.7 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.68 (2.7 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Morning · 09/11/2026

📡

Hold Radar Active — Awaiting Trigger Drawing

No qualifying trigger condition was detected in the most recent drawing, or this strategy is resting outside its designated draw slot (all draws). As soon as the next qualifying number is drawn, the engine automatically initializes the 10-draw hold countdown.

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 98.3%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 1,775 963 -45.7% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 3 0 0.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.17% 0.00% -0.17%
Capital Invested $443.75 $321.00 +$149.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$68.75 -$321.00 -$252.25 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -15.5% -100.0% -84.5% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 993 drawings (2025-09-10 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$175 (16.8% ROI across 835 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$167.5
Return on Investment 24.8%
Hit Rate 0.26%
Max Drawdown -$-200
Active Drawings 993
Total Plays Placed 2,705
Total Winning Hits 7
Gross Revenue $843.75
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($187.50) · Triples pay 6× ($562.50)
distinct Base ($93.75)
6 hits
+$562.5
double 2x Double ($187.50)
2 hits
+$375

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $676.25
Total Payout (Gross) $843.75
Net Profit / Loss +$167.5
Final Bankroll $667.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-200.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-300.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$27.5
-100.0% ROI
+$67.5
31.6% ROI
-$32.5
-8.0% ROI
+$167.5
24.8% ROI
+$250
25.8% ROI
+$175
16.8% ROI
+$175
16.8% ROI
5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $0 $0 +$0 0
2024 $87.5 $0 -$87.5 0 -100.0%
2025 $400 $750 +$350 7 87.5%
2026 $556.25 $468.75 -$87.5 4 -15.7%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $133
25-11 $164
25-12 $-41
26-01 $45
26-02 $-53
26-03 $-48
26-04 $-50
26-05 $25
26-06 $-75
26-07 $188
26-08 $-93
26-09 $-28

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

8 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 6.4
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
12.5%
1 of 8 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 8
2 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 2 1 drops (12.5%)
Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4 1 drops (12.5%)
Draw 5 1 drops (12.5%)
Draw 6 1 drops (12.5%)
Draw 7 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 8 ★ 2 drops (25.0%)
Draw 9 2 drops (25.0%)
Draw 10 0 drops (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

0226 1 hits 0236 1 hits 0356 1 hits 0367 1 hits 0459 1 hits 0466 1 hits 0478 1 hits 2379 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 8)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-07-27 Evening 3067 0367 distinct +$93.75 followed family 1345 2/15x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 4920)
2026-07-02 Midday 0226 0226 double 2x Double +$187.50 followed family 1578 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 7851)
2026-05-02 Midday 6305 0356 distinct +$93.75 followed family 3479 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 9437)
2026-01-10 Midday 7293 2379 distinct +$93.75 followed family 0125 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 0512)
2025-11-09 Evening 6460 0466 double 2x Double +$187.50 followed family 4689 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 9648)
2025-10-12 Evening 0478 0478 distinct +$93.75 followed family 0189 2/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 9108)
2025-10-03 Morning 0495 0459 distinct +$93.75 followed family 1345 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 1453)
2025-09-12 Midday 0623 0236 distinct +$93.75 followed family 1389 2/15x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 8931)