Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Chase (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 630 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Mean-reversion chase: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion chase: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026

⚡ ACTIVE CHASE CYCLE Draw 10 of 10
⚠️ FINAL DRAW ATTEMPT (Step 10/10)
Chase Cycle Progress Rail 10 / 10 Steps Completed or Active
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 ▶ ACTIVE
Trigger Drawing
#1536
Midday (2026-09-01)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Hit Now
$93.75
Stops immediately on hit
Net Profit if Hit Now
+$91.25
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this chase cycle:

2378 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
2378 distinct Draw 10 of 10 01 pair usually brings 32, 28 pairs (from 9160 Evening 2026-08-31) · 09: look for 78 or 38 pair (from 9160 Evening 2026-08-31) [RB9 Root 2 Aligned] · Chase Step 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 1536)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 679 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-15 (-2.7% ROI across 2,312 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$63.75
Return on Investment -40.5%
Hit Rate 0.16%
Max Drawdown -$-112.5
Active Drawings 679
Total Plays Placed 630
Total Winning Hits 1
Gross Revenue $93.75
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($187.50) · Triples pay 6× ($562.50)
distinct Base ($93.75)
1 hits
+$93.75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $157.5
Total Payout (Gross) $93.75
Net Profit / Loss -$63.75
Final Bankroll $436.25
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-112.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-168.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$2.25
-100.0% ROI
-$31
-100.0% ROI
+$20.5
28.0% ROI
-$63.75
-40.5% ROI
-$45.5
-13.9% ROI
-$121.25
-24.4% ROI
-$15.5
-2.7% ROI
1 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $124 $187.5 +$63.5 1 51.2%
2024 $169.75 $281.25 +$111.5 2 65.7%
2025 $169.25 $0 -$169.25 0 -100.0%
2026 $115 $93.75 -$21.25 1 -18.5%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-15
25-11 $-14
25-12 $-14
26-01 $-15
26-02 $-13
26-03 $-14
26-04 $-14
26-05 $-14
26-06 $80
26-07 $-15
26-08 $-14
26-09 $-2

🎯 Historical chase hit distribution (Which draw do hits land on?)

1 Documented Hits in Backtest

Distribution of winning hits across the 10-draw chase window. Shorter chases lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Hit
Draw 2.0
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
100.0%
1 of 1 hits
Peak Hit Draw
Draw 2
1 hits landed here
Stop-on-Hit Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon hit
Draw 1 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 2 ★ 1 hits (100.0%)
Draw 3 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 4 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 5 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 6 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 7 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 8 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 9 0 hits (0.0%)
Draw 10 0 hits (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-hit chasing, every draw a number takes to hit costs an additional $0.25 per family. Hits landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches Draw 10 without hitting, the cycle expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

0368 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 1)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-06-04 Evening 8630 0368 distinct +$93.75 after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 5085 Evening 2026-06-03) · 58: look for 78 and/or 30 pair (from 5085 Evening 2026-06-03) [RB9 Root 8 Aligned] · Chase Step 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Hit for trigger 5085)