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RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 297 total plays 0.9 families/draw

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Mean-reversion hold: exploits root deficits predicted by the Law of Large Numbers (+3.93% All-Time ROI across 13,855 draws).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.22 (0.9 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#016
Evening (2026-09-02)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

367 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
367 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 032 Midday 2026-09-02) · after 0: brings 3 or 6, or another 0 (from 032 Midday 2026-09-02) — contains digit 3 [RB9 Root 7 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 016)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 97.6%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 500 301 -39.8% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 2 1 50.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.40% 0.33% -0.07%
Capital Invested $125.00 $100.25 +$49.75 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$12.50 -$25.25 -$12.75 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -10.0% -25.2% -15.2% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)

⚡ Recent Form Window

Evaluated across 340 drawings (2026-03-09 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$246 (42.5% ROI across 2,316 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$75.75
Return on Investment 102.0%
Hit Rate 1.01%
Max Drawdown -$-28.25
Active Drawings 340
Total Plays Placed 297
Total Winning Hits 3
Gross Revenue $150
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
double 2x Double ($75.00)
1 hits
+$75
distinct Base ($37.50)
2 hits
+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $74.25
Total Payout (Gross) $150
Net Profit / Loss +$75.75
Final Bankroll $575.75
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-28.25. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-42.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$3.25
-100.0% ROI
+$43
134.4% ROI
+$75.75
102.0% ROI
-$8.5
-5.4% ROI
+$84.75
25.9% ROI
+$252.75
50.8% ROI
+$246
42.5% ROI
3 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $124 $262.5 +$138.5 5 111.7%
2024 $169.75 $225 +$55.25 4 32.5%
2025 $169.25 $187.5 +$18.25 3 10.8%
2026 $116 $150 +$34 3 29.3%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-04 $-14
26-05 $-14
26-06 $61
26-07 $23
26-08 $23
26-09 $-3

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

3 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 8.0
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
0.0%
0 of 3 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 5
1 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 2 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 ★ 1 drops (33.3%)
Draw 6 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 7 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9 1 drops (33.3%)
Draw 10 1 drops (33.3%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

234 1 hits 247 1 hits 338 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 3)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-19 Midday 247 247 distinct +$37.50 after 0: look for 24 or 63 pair (from 620 Evening 2026-08-16) · 2 drawn in sets: 2&6, 5&2, 7&2 (from 620 Evening 2026-08-16) [RB9 Root 4 Aligned] · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 620)
2026-07-25 Evening 432 234 distinct +$37.50 0 or 7 brings 42 pair (14x in Cici's Sep 2026 notes) (from 789 Evening 2026-07-20) · look for 3 in the draw after 9 consecutive draws without it (from 344 Midday 2026-07-21) — contains digit 3 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 344)
2026-06-02 Evening 383 338 double 2x Double +$75.00 pairs after 00: fall next draw or draw after (from 004 Midday 2026-05-28) · after 0: brings 3 or 6, or another 0 (from 004 Midday 2026-05-28) — contains digit 3 [RB9 Root 5 Aligned] · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 004)