Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 297 total plays 0.9 families/draw
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.22 (0.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/08/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 048 | distinct | Hold Draw 5 of 10 | followed family 157 4/15x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 157 -> 084 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 981) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 68 | -86.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 1 | 1 | 100.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.20% | 1.47% | +1.27% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $22.25 | +$108.00 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$87.50 | +$15.25 | +$102.75 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -70.0% | 68.5% | +138.5% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)
Evaluated across 340 drawings (2026-03-09 → 2026-09-07). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-16 (-2.9% ROI across 2,316 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$3.25
-100.0% ROI |
+$118
368.8% ROI |
+$75.75
102.0% ROI |
+$66.5
42.0% ROI |
+$47.25
14.4% ROI |
-$47.25
-9.5% ROI |
-$16.5
-2.9% ROI |
4 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $124 | $112.5 | -$11.5 | 3 | -9.3% |
| 2024 | $169.75 | $225 | +$55.25 | 4 | 32.5% |
| 2025 | $169.25 | $37.5 | -$131.75 | 1 | -77.8% |
| 2026 | $116 | $187.5 | +$71.5 | 5 | 61.6% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
5 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 5)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Evening | 459 | 459 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed number 896 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 689 3/18x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 896) |
| 2026-07-12 | Evening | 871 | 178 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 938 -> 178 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 938) |
| 2026-07-07 | Midday | 938 | 389 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 036 2/19x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 360 -> 983 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 360) |
| 2026-07-04 | Midday | 360 | 036 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 699 3/10x within 10 draws · followed number 106 2/6x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 996) |
| 2026-03-10 | Evening | 690 | 069 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 392 -> 906 · followed family 147 1/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 392) |