Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 267 total plays 0.7 families/draw
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.7 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.18 (0.7 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/13/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 899 | double | Hold Draw 2 of 10 | Book followed-by: 003 -> 989 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 141) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 395 | 96 | -75.7% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 2 | 1 | 50.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.51% | 1.04% | +0.54% |
| Capital Invested | $98.75 | $31.25 | +$74.75 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$23.75 | +$6.25 | +$30.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -24.1% | 20.0% | +44.1% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 370 drawings (2025-09-12 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-3 (-1.2% ROI across 911 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$2
-100.0% ROI |
-$12.75
-100.0% ROI |
+$8
27.1% ROI |
-$29.25
-43.8% ROI |
+$9
6.4% ROI |
-$21
-10.1% ROI |
-$2.75
-1.2% ROI |
1 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $36 | $75 | +$39 | 2 | 108.3% |
| 2024 | $71 | $0 | -$71 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2025 | $73.5 | $112.5 | +$39 | 3 | 53.1% |
| 2026 | $47.25 | $37.5 | -$9.75 | 1 | -20.6% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
1 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 1)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Evening | 239 | 239 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 688 -> 923 · followed family 345 1/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 688) |