Walk-forward strategy performance

Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 370 archive drawings (2025-09-12 → 2026-09-08) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $37.50 / double $75.00 / triple $225.00 / .

What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing. Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays 1 families every drawing across 370 drawings accumulates 343 plays. Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
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Strategy Families/draw Drawings Total plays Hits Hit rate Cost Gross Net ROI Max drawdown
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 370 343 2 0.58% $85.75 $75 $-10.75 -12.5% $-48
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) 2.8 370 1,019 7 0.69% $254.75 $262.5 $7.75 3.0% $-73
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) 0.7 370 267 1 0.37% $66.75 $37.5 $-29.25 -43.8% $-37.25
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder 1.2 370 459 3 0.65% $114.75 $112.5 $-2.25 -2.0% $-44.25
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 1.6 370 577 4 0.69% $144.25 $150 $5.75 4.0% $-54
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder 8.6 370 3,177 21 0.66% $794.25 $825 $30.75 3.9% $-129.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper 0.5 370 180 1 0.56% $45 $37.5 $-7.5 -16.7% $-39.25
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold 0.6 370 213 2 0.94% $53.25 $112.5 $59.25 111.3% $-32.5
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) 0.9 370 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) 0.9 370 343 3 0.87% $85.75 $112.5 $26.75 31.2% $-45.5
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) 2.8 370 1,029 4 0.39% $257.25 $150 $-107.25 -41.7% $-138.75
Cici's Rules Engine 7.4 370 2,744 6 0.22% $686 $300 $-386 -56.3% $-386
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) 7.4 370 2,744 8 0.29% $686 $375 $-311 -45.3% $-361.5
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine 7.4 370 2,744 8 0.29% $686 $375 $-311 -45.3% $-324
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine 7.4 370 2,744 8 0.29% $686 $375 $-311 -45.3% $-361.5
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) 4.6 370 1,715 5 0.29% $428.75 $262.5 $-166.25 -38.8% $-192.5
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) 0.9 370 336 1 0.30% $84 $37.5 $-46.5 -55.4% $-66.5
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) 7.4 370 2,744 11 0.40% $686 $525 $-161 -23.5% $-174
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) 0.9 370 343 3 0.87% $85.75 $150 $64.25 74.9% $-45.5
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) 0.9 370 343 0 0.00% $85.75 $0 $-85.75 -100.0% $-85.75
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 370 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) 0.0 370 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 370 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 370 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) 0.0 370 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) 0.0 370 0 0 0.00% $0 $0 $0 0.0% $0
Followed-By (empirical top 5) 2.8 370 1,032 4 0.39% $258 $150 $-108 -41.9% $-108
Hot Families (top 10) 9.3 370 3,430 26 0.76% $857.5 $975 $117.5 13.7% $-152.5
Hot doubles (top 18) 16.7 370 6,174 17 0.28% $1,543.5 $1,275 $-268.5 -17.4% $-478.5
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) 9.3 370 3,430 2 0.06% $857.5 $450 $-407.5 -47.5% $-480
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) 9.3 370 3,430 22 0.64% $857.5 $825 $-32.5 -3.8% $-115
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) 16.7 370 6,174 21 0.34% $1,543.5 $1,012.5 $-531 -34.4% $-531
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) 9.3 370 3,430 8 0.23% $857.5 $525 $-332.5 -38.8% $-387.5
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) 9.3 370 3,430 14 0.41% $857.5 $825 $-32.5 -3.8% $-382.5
Calendar Year Top-5 4.6 370 1,715 10 0.58% $428.75 $375 $-53.75 -12.5% $-53.75
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes 111.2 370 41,160 253 0.61% $10,290 $9,487.5 $-802.5 -7.8% $-802.5
Window summary. 7 of 36 strategies finished positive in this window. · Highest Capital ROI: Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold (+111.3% ROI, net +$59.25)
Top Net Dollars: Hot Families (top 10) +$117.50 · RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) +$64.25 · Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold +$59.25

Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)

Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.

Strategy1M3M6M1Y2Y3YAll timePositive months (12)
Hot Families (top 10) -$20 -$63 -$65 +$118 +$105 +$428 +$570 4/12
Pure Matches: Triples (All 10) -$20 -$175 -$403 -$408 +$255 +$240 +$233 1/12
RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$3 +$64 +$161 +$69 +$83 2/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 5-Draw Post-Double Hold -$1 +$27 +$14 +$59 +$77 +$57 +$79 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$11 -$65 +$32 +$46 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) -$10 +$46 +$6 +$8 -$9 +$5 +$33 5/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence · Rapid 3-Draw Post-Double Sniper -$1 +$28 +$18 -$8 +$92 +$45 +$33 1/12
RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 -$102 -$44 +$8 0/12
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Midday ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
⚡ Cici's Exact/Any Double Sniper (Evening ➔ Night) +$0 0/0
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) -$2 -$13 +$8 -$29 +$9 -$21 -$3 1/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder -$3 -$25 +$15 -$2 -$68 -$7 -$7 2/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder -$4 -$30 +$35 +$6 -$75 -$27 -$28 3/12
Cici's Dual-Core Sniper (5-Draw Stop-on-Drop Hold) -$2 -$18 -$40 -$86 +$11 -$44 -$29 0/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) +$36 +$20 +$72 +$27 -$27 -$6 -$29 3/12
Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) +$18 +$13 +$10 -$33 -$195 -$98 -$68 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$55 +$350 +$198 -$33 +$68 +$53 -$68 4/12
Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) -$2 +$20 -$3 -$47 -$137 -$78 -$101 1/12
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) +$32 -$15 -$46 -$107 -$119 -$56 -$125 3/12
Calendar Year Top-5 -$10 -$50 -$51 -$54 -$60 -$143 -$184 3/12
Followed-By (empirical top 5) -$7 -$25 -$63 -$108 -$277 -$264 -$270 4/12
Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) -$36 -$203 -$237 -$531 -$149 -$71 -$302 3/12
Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$55 -$25 -$103 -$333 +$30 -$285 -$405 2/12
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder +$57 +$68 +$118 +$31 -$127 -$395 -$420 7/12
Hot doubles (top 18) +$39 +$210 +$101 -$269 -$186 -$183 -$452 6/12
Cici's Dual-Core Hybrid Engine (High-Accuracy + Macro-Coverage) -$16 -$140 -$172 -$311 -$629 -$423 -$497 2/12
Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine -$16 -$140 -$172 -$311 -$629 -$423 -$497 2/12
Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) -$10 -$13 -$14 -$166 -$473 -$480 -$521 3/12
RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) -$16 -$28 -$97 -$161 -$479 -$536 -$684 5/12
Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine -$16 -$103 -$135 -$311 -$516 -$686 -$759 3/12
Cici's Rules Engine -$16 -$65 -$135 -$386 -$779 -$911 -$947 2/12
Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes -$15 -$113 -$255 -$803 -$1,815 -$2,783 -$2,948 2/12