Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,568 total plays 2.2 families/draw

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 2.2 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.55 (2.2 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/12/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 4 of 10
⚡ ACTIVE STRIKE (HOLD 4/10) · $0.25 STAKE (VELOCITY ATTACK)
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 4 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ▶ ACTIVE
5 $0.25
6 $0.25
7 $0.25
8 $0.25
9 $0.25
10 $0.00
Trigger Drawing
#970
Midday (2026-09-10)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$5.00
$1.25/draw × 4 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50 (Distinct) · $75.00 (Double)
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$32.50
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

378 distinct 367 distinct 189 distinct 346 distinct 004 double
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
378 distinct Hold Draw 4 of 10 followed number 322 4/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970)
367 distinct Hold Draw 4 of 10 Book followed-by: 322 -> 736 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970)
189 distinct Hold Draw 4 of 10 followed number 322 2/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970)
346 distinct Hold Draw 4 of 10 followed number 322 2/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970)
004 double Hold Draw 4 of 10 followed number 322 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: PRECISION CHASER
Ticket Waste Index: 95.4%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 1,381 224 -83.8% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 10 2 20.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.72% 0.89% +0.17%
Capital Invested $345.25 $75.50 +$286.25 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$67.25 +$37.00 -$30.25 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 19.5% 49.0% +29.5% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (All-Time walk-forward)

Full Archive History

Evaluated across 1,167 drawings (2023-06-30 → 2026-09-08).

Net Profit +$33
Return on Investment 5.1%
Hit Rate 0.66%
Max Drawdown -$-117
Active Drawings 1,167
Total Plays Placed 2,568
Total Winning Hits 17
Gross Revenue $675
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
16 hits
+$600
double 2x Double ($75.00)
1 hits
+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $642
Total Payout (Gross) $675
Net Profit / Loss +$33
Final Bankroll $533
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-117.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-175.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$10
-100.0% ROI
+$46
69.2% ROI
+$6.25
4.3% ROI
+$7.75
3.0% ROI
-$9.25
-2.2% ROI
+$4.5
0.8% ROI
+$33
5.1% ROI
5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $92.5 $75 -$17.5 2 -18.9%
2024 $167.5 $187.5 +$20 5 11.9%
2025 $185.25 $150 -$35.25 3 -19.0%
2026 $196.75 $262.5 +$65.75 7 33.4%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-06 $-1
23-07 $60
23-08 $-16
23-09 $-15
23-10 $-16
23-11 $-15
23-12 $-16
24-01 $-16
24-02 $-12
24-03 $-13
24-04 $23
24-05 $-13
24-06 $23
24-07 $24
24-08 $22
24-09 $23
24-10 $-13
24-11 $-15
24-12 $-12
25-01 $26
25-02 $-14
25-03 $-13
25-04 $-15
25-05 $-13
25-06 $-15
25-07 $-14
25-08 $93
25-09 $-13
25-10 $-29
25-11 $-15
25-12 $-14
26-01 $15
26-02 $62
26-03 $-18
26-04 $-30
26-05 $-25
26-06 $16
26-07 $15
26-08 $41
26-09 $-10

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

17 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.2
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
17.6%
3 of 17 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 4
5 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 1 drops (5.9%)
Draw 2 1 drops (5.9%)
Draw 3 1 drops (5.9%)
Draw 4 ★ 5 drops (29.4%)
Draw 5 3 drops (17.6%)
Draw 6 1 drops (5.9%)
Draw 7 2 drops (11.8%)
Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 9 3 drops (17.6%)
Draw 10 0 drops (0.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

014 1 hits 029 1 hits 036 1 hits 039 1 hits 048 1 hits 116 1 hits 139 1 hits 156 1 hits 179 1 hits 189 1 hits 239 1 hits 267 1 hits 278 1 hits 469 1 hits 479 1 hits 568 1 hits 678 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 17)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-31 Evening 917 179 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 865 -> 179 · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 865)
2026-08-25 Evening 865 568 distinct +$37.50 followed family 468 3/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 684)
2026-07-27 Evening 630 036 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 323 -> 603 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 323)
2026-06-08 Evening 267 267 distinct +$37.50 followed number 469 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 469 3/14x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 469)
2026-02-14 Evening 782 278 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 520 -> 782 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 520)
2026-02-03 Evening 918 189 distinct +$37.50 Pro-Zo relative: 819 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 378)
2026-01-09 Evening 014 014 distinct +$37.50 followed number 600 1/3x within 10 draws · followed number 980 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 600)
2025-08-28 Evening 161 116 double 2x Double +$75.00 Book followed-by: 493 -> 611 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 493)
2025-08-14 Evening 209 029 distinct +$37.50 followed family 469 3/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 649)
2025-01-09 Evening 319 139 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 293 -> 319 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 293)
2024-09-27 Evening 480 048 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 667 -> 480 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 667)
2024-08-23 Evening 947 479 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 449 -> 974 · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 449)
2024-07-11 Evening 694 469 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 644 -> 496 · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 644)
2024-06-14 Evening 329 239 distinct +$37.50 Pro-Zo relative: 932 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 941)
2024-04-16 Evening 156 156 distinct +$37.50 Pro-Zo relative: 516 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 750)
2023-07-26 Evening 390 039 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 678 -> 930 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 678)
2023-07-24 Evening 678 678 distinct +$37.50 Pro-Zo relative: 768 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 849)