Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 40 total plays 1.1 families/draw
Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 1.1 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.29 (1.1 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/12/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 378 | distinct | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | followed number 322 4/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970) |
| 367 | distinct | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | Book followed-by: 322 -> 736 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970) |
| 189 | distinct | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | followed number 322 2/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970) |
| 346 | distinct | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | followed number 322 2/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970) |
| 004 | double | Hold Draw 4 of 10 | followed number 322 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 970) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 1,381 | 224 | -83.8% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 10 | 2 | 20.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.72% | 0.89% | +0.17% |
| Capital Invested | $345.25 | $75.50 | +$286.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$67.25 | +$37.00 | -$30.25 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 19.5% | 49.0% | +29.5% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 35 drawings (2026-08-12 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$33 (5.1% ROI across 1,167 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$10
-100.0% ROI |
+$46
69.2% ROI |
+$6.25
4.3% ROI |
+$7.75
3.0% ROI |
-$9.25
-2.2% ROI |
+$4.5
0.8% ROI |
+$33
5.1% ROI |
5 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $92.5 | $75 | -$17.5 | 2 | -18.9% |
| 2024 | $167.5 | $187.5 | +$20 | 5 | 11.9% |
| 2025 | $185.25 | $150 | -$35.25 | 3 | -19.0% |
| 2026 | $196.75 | $262.5 | +$65.75 | 7 | 33.4% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
2 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 2)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Evening | 917 | 179 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 865 -> 179 · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 865) |
| 2026-08-25 | Evening | 865 | 568 | distinct | +$37.50 | followed family 468 3/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 684) |