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Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 13,550 total plays 9.3 families/draw

Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m
Draw Time: All Draws 1pm 4pm 7pm 10pm

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 9.3 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.31 (9.3 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/06/2026

Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.

1349 distinct 1338 double 1366 double 0337 double 0047 double 3477 double 0356 distinct 4458 double 1188 double/double 0034 double
FamilyTypeSelection Reason
1349 distinct 2487 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (5.97x overdue)
1338 double 4805 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (5.77x overdue)
1366 double 4286 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (5.14x overdue)
0337 double 4231 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (5.08x overdue)
0047 double 4074 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.89x overdue)
3477 double 3927 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.71x overdue)
0356 distinct 1955 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.69x overdue)
4458 double 3790 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.55x overdue)
1188 double/double 7038.666666666667 draws since last hit — expected ~1667 (4.22x overdue)
0034 double 3513 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.22x overdue)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 1,464 drawings (2025-09-04 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-1,540 (-11.9% ROI across 5,191 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$12.5
Return on Investment -0.4%
Hit Rate 0.18%
Max Drawdown -$-527.5
Active Drawings 1,464
Total Plays Placed 13,550
Total Winning Hits 24
Gross Revenue $3,375
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($187.50) · Triples pay 6× ($562.50)
distinct Base ($93.75)
14 hits
+$1,312.5
double 2x Double ($187.50)
12 hits
+$2,250

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $3,387.5
Total Payout (Gross) $3,375
Net Profit / Loss -$12.5
Final Bankroll $487.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-527.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-791.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$37.5
-100.0% ROI 		-$376.25
-57.2% ROI 		-$161.25
-10.3% ROI 		-$12.5
-0.4% ROI 		-$756.25
-10.7% ROI 		-$1,791.25
-16.7% ROI 		-$1,540
-11.9% ROI 		4 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $3,200 $3,468.75 +$268.75 37 8.4%
2024 $3,660 $2,062.5 -$1,597.5 19 -43.6%
2025 $3,650 $3,843.75 +$193.75 32 5.3%
2026 $2,467.5 $2,062.5 -$405 13 -16.4%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-29
25-11 $544
25-12 $-123
26-01 $65
26-02 $-186
26-03 $-123
26-04 $-113
26-05 $253
26-06 $75
26-07 $-123
26-08 $-216
26-09 $-38

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

0012 1 hits 0114 1 hits 0238 1 hits 0239 1 hits 0288 1 hits 0346 1 hits 0456 1 hits 0467 1 hits 0478 1 hits 0668 1 hits 0699 1 hits 0899 1 hits 1245 1 hits 1456 1 hits 1469 1 hits 1478 1 hits 1778 1 hits 2458 1 hits 2469 1 hits 3455 1 hits 3489 1 hits 3669 1 hits 3677 1 hits 4459 1 hits 4468 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 25)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-28 10pm 6958 5689 distinct +$93.75 2254 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (5.41x overdue)
2026-07-22 4pm 5142 1245 distinct +$93.75 1794 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.31x overdue)
2026-07-01 1pm 0392 0239 distinct +$93.75 1737 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.17x overdue)
2026-06-29 10pm 6990 0699 double 2x Double +$187.50 4414 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (5.30x overdue)
2026-06-20 10pm 4846 4468 double 2x Double +$187.50 4097 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.92x overdue)
2026-05-05 7pm 4101 0114 double 2x Double +$187.50 3440 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.13x overdue)
2026-05-05 1pm 0899 0899 double 2x Double +$187.50 4236 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (5.08x overdue)
2026-05-02 4pm 4459 4459 double 2x Double +$187.50 4640 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (5.57x overdue)
2026-04-02 1pm 3966 3669 double 2x Double +$187.50 3423 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.11x overdue)
2026-03-16 10pm 8208 0288 double 2x Double +$187.50 4015 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.82x overdue)
2026-02-16 1pm 4825 2458 distinct +$93.75 1747 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.19x overdue)
2026-01-23 10pm 7718 1778 double 2x Double +$187.50 4027 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.83x overdue)
2026-01-03 10pm 2100 0012 double 2x Double +$187.50 3242 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (3.89x overdue)
2025-12-30 4pm 2694 2469 distinct +$93.75 1696 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.07x overdue)
2025-12-04 1pm 3604 0346 distinct +$93.75 1685 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.04x overdue)
2025-11-21 4pm 5354 3455 double 2x Double +$187.50 3393 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.07x overdue)
2025-11-13 1pm 4619 1469 distinct +$93.75 2022 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.85x overdue)
2025-11-08 7pm 4870 0478 distinct +$93.75 1623 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (3.90x overdue)
2025-11-06 7pm 6737 3677 double 2x Double +$187.50 4995.333333333333 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (5.99x overdue)
2025-11-04 7pm 0456 0456 distinct +$93.75 1716 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.12x overdue)
2025-11-01 7pm 6806 0668 double 2x Double +$187.50 3846 draws since last hit — expected ~833 (4.62x overdue)
2025-10-24 1pm 6074 0467 distinct +$93.75 2952 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (7.08x overdue)
2025-10-12 1pm 0238 0238 distinct +$93.75 2446 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (5.87x overdue)
2025-10-07 1pm 4718 1478 distinct +$93.75 2533 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (6.08x overdue)
2025-09-28 10pm 4156 1456 distinct +$93.75 1823 draws since last hit — expected ~417 (4.38x overdue)