Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder
Dynamic Walk-Forward 5,368 total plays 3.7 families/draw
Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 3.7 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.92 (3.7 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/07/2026
Every candidate number runs on its own independent hold countdown clock. When a number drops, it exits the ladder immediately to secure profit. If it reaches 10 draws without dropping, the 10-draw cut-off expires the pick to prevent runaway losses.
| Family | Pattern | Hold Draw & Progress Meter | Trigger Origin | Invested | Net if Dropped | Trigger Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1238 | distinct |
Late Stage
2 left
|
#0329
2026-09-04 · 1pm |
$2.00 | +$91.75 | followed family 1238 4/16x within 10 draws |
| 0589 | distinct |
Mid Stage
3 left
|
#9533
2026-09-04 · 4pm |
$1.75 | +$92.00 | followed family 0239 3/10x within 10 draws · followed family 1238 2/16x within 10 draws |
| 1378 | distinct |
Mid Stage
5 left
|
#3867
2026-09-04 · 10pm |
$1.25 | +$92.50 | followed family 0489 3/13x within 10 draws |
| 3569 | distinct |
Mid Stage
6 left
|
#1662
2026-09-05 · 1pm |
$1.00 | +$92.75 | followed family 3678 2/11x within 10 draws · followed family 0489 1/13x within 10 draws |
| 2356 | distinct |
Early Stage
7 left
|
#8351
2026-09-05 · 4pm |
$0.75 | +$93.00 | followed family 3678 3/11x within 10 draws |
| 0126 | distinct |
Early Stage
8 left
|
#0402
2026-09-05 · 7pm |
$0.50 | +$93.25 | followed family 1358 3/14x within 10 draws |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 2,396 | 982 | -59.0% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 4 | 1 | 25.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.17% | 0.10% | -0.07% |
| Capital Invested | $599.00 | $245.50 | +$353.50 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$224.00 | -$151.75 | +$72.25 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -37.4% | -61.8% | -24.4% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 1,464 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-1,164 (-60.8% ROI across 2,519 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$29
-100.0% ROI |
-$19
-6.3% ROI |
-$379
-50.3% ROI |
-$873.25
-65.1% ROI |
-$1,126.25
-60.0% ROI |
-$1,164
-60.8% ROI |
-$1,164
-60.8% ROI |
1 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $0 | $0 | +$0 | 0 | — |
| 2024 | $109.5 | $0 | -$109.5 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2025 | $765.75 | $281.25 | -$484.5 | 3 | -63.3% |
| 2026 | $1,038.75 | $468.75 | -$570 | 5 | -54.9% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
6 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 6)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | 1pm | 0412 | 0124 | distinct | +$93.75 | [Hold Draw 10 of 10] from 9676: followed family 0156 3/22x within 10 draws |
| 2026-08-24 | 10pm | 7961 | 1679 | distinct | +$93.75 | [Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 0136: followed family 0136 3/13x within 10 draws |
| 2026-08-11 | 7pm | 7845 | 4578 | distinct | +$93.75 | [Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 9310: followed family 0139 3/11x within 10 draws |
| 2026-06-08 | 7pm | 4751 | 1457 | distinct | +$93.75 | [Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 8149: followed family 1489 2/19x within 10 draws · followed family 2579 3/10x within 10 draws |
| 2026-03-23 | 7pm | 0419 | 0149 | distinct | +$93.75 | [Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 7931: followed family 1379 1/13x within 10 draws · followed family 0378 3/15x within 10 draws |
| 2025-09-29 | 10pm | 9204 | 0249 | distinct | +$93.75 | [Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 4156: followed family 1456 2/11x within 10 draws |