Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 244 total plays 0.7 families/draw

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 0.7 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.17 (0.7 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/11/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#201
Evening (2026-08-31)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

137 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
137 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 Book followed-by: 993 -> 173 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 201)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: REGIME SPECIALIST
Ticket Waste Index: 106.8%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 365 306 -16.2% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 0 0 100% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.00% 0.00% +0.00%
Capital Invested $91.25 $102.75 +$14.75 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$91.25 -$102.75 -$11.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -100.0% -100.0% +0.0% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 366 drawings (2025-09-09 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-187 (-83.3% ROI across 900 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$61
Return on Investment -100.0%
Hit Rate 0.00%
Max Drawdown -$-61
Active Drawings 366
Total Plays Placed 244
Total Winning Hits 0
Gross Revenue $0

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $61
Total Payout (Gross) $0
Net Profit / Loss -$61
Final Bankroll $439
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-61.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-91.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$2
-100.0% ROI
-$12.75
-100.0% ROI
-$29
-100.0% ROI
-$61
-100.0% ROI
-$136
-100.0% ROI
-$171.25
-82.0% ROI
-$187.5
-83.3% ROI
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $35.25 $37.5 +$2.25 1 6.4%
2024 $74.5 $0 -$74.5 0 -100.0%
2025 $70.5 $0 -$70.5 0 -100.0%
2026 $44.75 $0 -$44.75 0 -100.0%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-6
25-11 $-3
25-12 $-8
26-01 $-7
26-02 $-5
26-03 $-5
26-04 $-5
26-05 $-6
26-06 $-6
26-07 $-6
26-08 $-5
26-09 $-2