Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 8 total plays 0.3 families/draw
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.3 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.06 (0.3 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/12/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 049 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | followed family 479 2/12x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 794 -> 940 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 794) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 421 | -15.8% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 0 | 0 | 100% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.00% | 0.00% | +0.00% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $140.00 | +$19.75 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$125.00 | -$140.00 | -$15.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -100.0% | -100.0% | +0.0% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 31 drawings (2026-08-12 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-29 (-10.0% ROI across 1,167 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$2
-100.0% ROI |
+$57.5
328.6% ROI |
+$72.25
179.5% ROI |
+$64.25
74.9% ROI |
+$48
27.1% ROI |
-$6
-2.2% ROI |
-$29.25
-10.0% ROI |
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $46.25 | $0 | -$46.25 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2024 | $91.5 | $75 | -$16.5 | 2 | -18.0% |
| 2025 | $91.25 | $37.5 | -$53.75 | 1 | -58.9% |
| 2026 | $62.75 | $150 | +$87.25 | 3 | 139.0% |