Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,966 total plays 1.0 families/draw

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 1.0 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.25 (1.0 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/11/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10
🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ✓ Past
9 ✓ Past
10 🛑 SIT OUT
Trigger Drawing
#969
Midday (2026-09-04)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.50
$0.25/draw × 10 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.00
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

127 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
127 distinct Hold Draw 10 of 10 Book followed-by: 663 -> 127 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: REGIME SPECIALIST
Ticket Waste Index: 109.9%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 416 170 -59.1% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 2 1 50.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.48% 0.59% +0.11%
Capital Invested $104.00 $56.50 +$61.50 saved
Net Profit / Loss -$29.00 +$18.50 +$47.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) -27.9% 32.7% +60.6% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (All-Time walk-forward)

Full Archive History

Evaluated across 2,514 drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08).

Net Profit -$79
Return on Investment -16.1%
Hit Rate 0.51%
Max Drawdown -$-182.75
Active Drawings 1,966
Total Plays Placed 1,966
Total Winning Hits 10
Gross Revenue $412.5
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
9 hits
+$337.5
double 2x Double ($75.00)
1 hits
+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $491.5
Total Payout (Gross) $412.5
Net Profit / Loss -$79
Final Bankroll $421
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-182.75. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-274.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$3.5
-100.0% ROI
+$7.75
26.1% ROI
+$9
13.6% ROI
+$10.25
7.3% ROI
+$89.5
31.3% ROI
-$43
-10.3% ROI
-$79
-16.1% ROI
4 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $104.75 $37.5 -$67.25 1 -64.2%
2024 $137.5 $37.5 -$100 1 -72.7%
2025 $144.5 $262.5 +$118 6 81.7%
2026 $104.75 $75 -$29.75 2 -28.4%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-04 $-11
23-05 $-12
23-06 $25
23-07 $-14
23-08 $-14
23-09 $-10
23-10 $-13
23-11 $-12
23-12 $-7
24-01 $-14
24-02 $-8
24-03 $-8
24-04 $-13
24-05 $-14
24-06 $-11
24-07 $-13
24-08 $-10
24-09 $-13
24-10 $-11
24-11 $25
24-12 $-13
25-01 $-14
25-02 $26
25-03 $62
25-04 $-12
25-05 $-10
25-06 $61
25-07 $-11
25-08 $-12
25-09 $-12
25-10 $27
25-11 $-12
25-12 $25
26-01 $-14
26-02 $-12
26-03 $-13
26-04 $24
26-05 $-13
26-06 $-9
26-07 $-15
26-08 $26
26-09 $-4

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

10 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.4
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
30.0%
3 of 10 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 1
3 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 ★ 3 drops (30.0%)
Draw 2 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 3 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 2 drops (20.0%)
Draw 6 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 7 2 drops (20.0%)
Draw 8 1 drops (10.0%)
Draw 9 1 drops (10.0%)
Draw 10 1 drops (10.0%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

145 2 hits 015 1 hits 037 1 hits 119 1 hits 279 1 hits 348 1 hits 349 1 hits 367 1 hits 568 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 10)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-08-28 Evening 307 037 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 444 -> 730 · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 444)
2026-04-25 Evening 451 145 distinct +$37.50 followed number 005 1/3x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 005 -> 145 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 005)
2025-12-22 Midday 541 145 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 005 -> 145 · followed family 238 2/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 005)
2025-10-08 Evening 150 015 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 877 -> 105 · followed family 456 1/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 877)
2025-06-12 Evening 119 119 double 2x Double +$75.00 Book followed-by: 303 -> 119 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 303)
2025-03-29 Evening 736 367 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 322 -> 736 · followed family 015 3/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 322)
2025-03-14 Midday 279 279 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 177 -> 297 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 177)
2025-02-15 Evening 348 348 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 545 -> 438 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 545)
2024-11-06 Midday 568 568 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 115 -> 685 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 115)
2023-06-01 Midday 934 349 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 505 -> 394 · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 505)