Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder

Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,931 total plays 8.0 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Full 10-draw hold ladder: each drawing enters the #1 historical follower into a 10-draw hold ladder. Numbers stack up on the playslip until hit or 10 draws pass.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 8.0 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.00 (8.0 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/10/2026

🪜 ROLLING HOLD LADDER 9 Active Numbers on Ladder

Staggered 10-Draw Individual Clocks

Every candidate number runs on its own independent hold countdown clock. When a number drops, it exits the ladder immediately to secure profit. If it reaches 10 draws without dropping, the 10-draw cut-off expires the pick to prevent runaway losses.

Family	Pattern	Hold Draw & Progress Meter	Trigger Origin	Invested	Net if Dropped	Trigger Rationale
127	distinct	Hold Draw 10/10 Final Draw 0 left	#969 2026-09-04 · Midday	$2.50	+$35.00	Book followed-by: 663 -> 127
158	distinct	Hold Draw 9/10 Late Stage 1 left	#034 2026-09-04 · Evening	$2.25	+$35.25	Book followed-by: 969 -> 581
115	double	Hold Draw 7/10 Mid Stage 3 left	#339 2026-09-05 · Evening	$1.75	+$73.25	followed number 123 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 123 2/12x within 10 draws
135	distinct	Hold Draw 6/10 Mid Stage 4 left	#702 2026-09-06 · Midday	$1.50	+$36.00	Book followed-by: 339 -> 153 · followed family 123 1/12x within 10 draws
077	double	Hold Draw 5/10 Mid Stage 5 left	#337 2026-09-06 · Evening	$1.25	+$73.75	followed family 027 1/10x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 702 -> 770
056	distinct	Hold Draw 4/10 Mid Stage 6 left	#406 2026-09-07 · Midday	$1.00	+$36.50	Book followed-by: 337 -> 065 · followed family 027 1/10x within 10 draws
338	double	Hold Draw 3/10 Early Stage 7 left	#546 2026-09-07 · Evening	$0.75	+$74.25	followed number 406 1/3x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 406 -> 338
167	distinct	Hold Draw 2/10 Early Stage 8 left	#354 2026-09-08 · Midday	$0.50	+$37.00	followed family 456 1/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 546 -> 176
156	distinct	Hold Draw 1/10 Early Stage 9 left	#422 2026-09-08 · Evening	$0.25	+$37.25	followed family 345 4/13x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 165

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: CONVEYOR BELT

Ticket Waste Index: 80.5%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	4,541	1,000	-78.0% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	25	5	20.0% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.55%	0.50%	-0.05%
Capital Invested	$1135.25	$250.00	+$885.25 saved
Net Profit / Loss	-$122.75	-$62.50	+$60.25 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	-10.8%	-25.0%	-14.2% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)

⚡ Recent Form Window

Evaluated across 366 drawings (2026-03-10 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-731 (-12.9% ROI across 2,514 all-time draws).

Net Profit +$54.75

Return on Investment 7.5%

Hit Rate 0.68%

Max Drawdown -$-70

Active Drawings 366

Total Plays Placed 2,931

Total Winning Hits 20

Gross Revenue $787.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

20 hits

+$750

double 2x Double ($75.00)

1 hits

+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $732.75

Total Payout (Gross) $787.5

Net Profit / Loss +$54.75

Final Bankroll $554.75

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-70.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-105.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$38 -100.0% ROI	+$56.5 17.7% ROI	+$54.75 7.5% ROI	-$209.5 -13.4% ROI	-$216.75 -6.7% ROI	-$437.25 -9.0% ROI	-$731 -12.9% ROI	5 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$1,228.25	$975	-$253.25	25	-20.6%
2024	$1,648.75	$1,387.5	-$261.25	34	-15.8%
2025	$1,664.5	$1,575	-$89.5	40	-5.4%
2026	$1,139.5	$1,012.5	-$127	25	-11.1%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-04 $-70

26-05 $50

26-06 $19

26-07 $49

26-08 $46

26-09 $-38

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

21 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 5.1

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

33.3%

7 of 21 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 1

3 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 ★ 3 drops (14.3%)

Draw 2 2 drops (9.5%)

Draw 3 2 drops (9.5%)

Draw 4 3 drops (14.3%)

Draw 5 1 drops (4.8%)

Draw 6 3 drops (14.3%)

Draw 7 2 drops (9.5%)

Draw 8 1 drops (4.8%)

Draw 9 3 drops (14.3%)

Draw 10 1 drops (4.8%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

037 2 hits 237 2 hits 016 1 hits 019 1 hits 028 1 hits 046 1 hits 067 1 hits 127 1 hits 145 1 hits 146 1 hits 157 1 hits 158 1 hits 159 1 hits 229 1 hits 239 1 hits 278 1 hits 489 1 hits 569 1 hits 579 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 21)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-28	Evening	307	037	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 444: Book followed-by: 444 -> 730
2026-08-27	Midday	614	146	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 105: Book followed-by: 105 -> 164 · followed family 145 2/15x within 10 draws
2026-08-23	Evening	185	158	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 078: Book followed-by: 078 -> 851 · followed family 045 1/14x within 10 draws
2026-08-16	Midday	239	239	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 5 of 10] from 139: Book followed-by: 139 -> 923 · followed number 929 1/5x within 10 draws
2026-08-11	Evening	195	159	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 618: followed family 168 2/17x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 618 -> 195
2026-07-22	Evening	948	489	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 680: followed family 068 2/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 680 -> 489
2026-07-16	Midday	172	127	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 376: Book followed-by: 376 -> 217
2026-07-05	Midday	922	229	double 2x Double	+$75.00	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 963: Book followed-by: 963 -> 229
2026-07-04	Midday	607	067	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 013: followed number 013 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 013 3/22x within 10 draws
2026-06-27	Midday	957	579	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 240: followed family 024 3/15x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 240 -> 975
2026-06-24	Evening	782	278	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 669: Book followed-by: 669 -> 827
2026-06-07	Midday	028	028	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 4 of 10] from 157: followed number 157 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 157 2/12x within 10 draws
2026-06-05	Midday	157	157	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 9 of 10] from 735: Book followed-by: 735 -> 571
2026-05-30	Midday	106	016	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 1 of 10] from 115: followed number 115 1/6x within 10 draws · followed family 115 4/15x within 10 draws
2026-05-25	Evening	307	037	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 2 of 10] from 984: Book followed-by: 984 -> 037 · followed family 006 1/12x within 10 draws
2026-05-23	Evening	596	569	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 10 of 10] from 479: followed family 479 2/16x within 10 draws · Pro-Zo relative: 965
2026-05-15	Midday	723	237	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 640: Book followed-by: 640 -> 273 · followed family 589 1/11x within 10 draws
2026-05-11	Midday	019	019	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 6 of 10] from 357: followed family 357 4/14x within 10 draws · followed number 193 2/3x within 10 draws
2026-04-25	Evening	451	145	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 7 of 10] from 597: followed number 597 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 579 3/14x within 10 draws
2026-04-01	Evening	640	046	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 3 of 10] from 631: followed number 631 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 136 2/18x within 10 draws
2026-03-17	Midday	327	237	distinct	+$37.50	[Hold Draw 8 of 10] from 531: Book followed-by: 531 -> 372