Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 1,610 total plays 4.4 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 4.4 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$1.10 (4.4 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/11/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10

🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY

Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)

Protocol: VELOCITY ATTACK TROUGH SKIP CONSERVATIVE BRAKE OPTIMIZED WAVE DYNAMIC BRAKE

1 ✓ Past

2 ✓ Past

3 ✓ Past

4 ✓ Past

5 ✓ Past

6 ✓ Past

7 ✓ Past

8 ✓ Past

9 ✓ Past

10 🛑 SIT OUT

Trigger Drawing

#969

Midday (2026-09-04)

Cumulative Stake Invested

$12.50

$1.25/draw × 10 draws

Payout if Dropped Now

$37.50

Stops immediately on drop

Net Profit if Dropped Now

+$25.00

Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

127 distinct 049 distinct 179 distinct 045 distinct 019 distinct

Family	Type	Current Status	Selection Reason
127	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	Book followed-by: 663 -> 127 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969)
049	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed number 248 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 248 5/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969)
179	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed number 248 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 248 3/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969)
045	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed number 248 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 248 2/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969)
019	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed number 248 1/4x within 10 draws · followed family 248 3/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969)

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER

Ticket Waste Index: 88.9%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	2,500	168	-93.3% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	14	1	7.1% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.56%	0.60%	+0.04%
Capital Invested	$625.00	$55.50	+$574.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss	-$62.50	-$18.00	+$44.50 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	-10.0%	-32.4%	-22.4% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (6 months walk-forward)

⚡ Recent Form Window

Evaluated across 366 drawings (2026-03-10 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$97 (4.3% ROI across 2,514 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$27.5

Return on Investment -6.8%

Hit Rate 0.56%

Max Drawdown -$-115

Active Drawings 366

Total Plays Placed 1,610

Total Winning Hits 9

Gross Revenue $375

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

8 hits

+$300

double 2x Double ($75.00)

1 hits

+$75

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $402.5

Total Payout (Gross) $375

Net Profit / Loss -$27.5

Final Bankroll $472.5

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-115.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-172.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$20 -100.0% ROI	+$87.5 50.0% ROI	-$27.5 -6.8% ROI	-$90 -10.7% ROI	-$285.75 -17.9% ROI	+$55.25 2.7% ROI	+$97 4.3% ROI	2 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$263.75	$337.5	+$73.75	9	28.0%
2024	$542.5	$862.5	+$320	19	59.0%
2025	$831.75	$600	-$231.75	16	-27.9%
2026	$627.5	$562.5	-$65	14	-10.4%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

26-04 $-38

26-05 $-78

26-06 $0

26-07 $110

26-08 $-3

26-09 $-20

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

9 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 5.6

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

22.2%

2 of 9 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 4

2 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 2 1 drops (11.1%)

Draw 3 1 drops (11.1%)

Draw 4 ★ 2 drops (22.2%)

Draw 5 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 6 2 drops (22.2%)

Draw 7 1 drops (11.1%)

Draw 8 1 drops (11.1%)

Draw 9 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 10 1 drops (11.1%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

567 2 hits 067 1 hits 138 1 hits 149 1 hits 158 1 hits 159 1 hits 345 1 hits 566 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 9)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-23	Evening	185	158	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 078 -> 851 · followed family 045 1/14x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 078)
2026-08-11	Evening	195	159	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 168 2/17x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 618 -> 195 · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 618)
2026-07-24	Midday	566	566	double 2x Double	+$75.00	followed family 345 1/11x within 10 draws · followed number 322 3/8x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 534)
2026-07-21	Midday	534	345	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 662 1/5x within 10 draws · followed family 467 3/14x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 662)
2026-07-09	Evening	813	138	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 576 2/4x within 10 draws · followed family 567 5/24x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 576)
2026-07-05	Evening	576	567	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 491 1/7x within 10 draws · followed family 149 4/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 491)
2026-06-12	Evening	491	149	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 079 3/16x within 10 draws · followed family 028 5/18x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 079)
2026-06-02	Evening	765	567	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 357 2/15x within 10 draws · followed number 273 1/3x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 735)
2026-04-11	Evening	706	067	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 379 1/15x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 937 -> 067 · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 937)