Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 48 total plays 0.8 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays top 3 multi-factor candidates with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.8 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.19 (0.8 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/11/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 7, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (139 skips)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969) |
| 028 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 1, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, Overdue (177 skips, z=+-1.95)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969) |
| 136 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 1, Cici Pair, Shield Safe, Overdue (313 skips, z=+-1.95)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 1,500 | 264 | -82.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 6 | 1 | 16.7% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.40% | 0.38% | -0.02% |
| Capital Invested | $375.00 | $87.75 | +$309.00 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$112.50 | -$12.75 | +$99.75 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -30.0% | -14.5% | +15.5% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 62 drawings (2026-08-09 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$215 (11.4% ROI across 2,514 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$12
-100.0% ROI |
-$105
-100.0% ROI |
-$91.5
-37.9% ROI |
-$64.5
-12.5% ROI |
+$363
34.2% ROI |
+$301.5
18.7% ROI |
+$214.5
11.4% ROI |
3 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $412.5 | $300 | -$112.5 | 7 | -27.3% |
| 2024 | $549 | $787.5 | +$238.5 | 15 | 43.4% |
| 2025 | $547.5 | $675 | +$127.5 | 12 | 23.3% |
| 2026 | $376.5 | $337.5 | -$39 | 7 | -10.4% |