Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 16 total plays 0.3 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.3 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.06 (0.3 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/10/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (5/5 votes, ★★★★★, 2.4x boost · Follower, Root 7, Cici Pair + Date Root, Shield Safe, Overdue (139 skips)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 969) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 88 | -82.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 7 | 1 | 14.3% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 1.40% | 1.14% | -0.26% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $29.25 | +$103.00 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$250.00 | +$45.75 | -$204.25 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 200.0% | 156.4% | -43.6% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 month walk-forward)
Evaluated across 62 drawings (2026-08-09 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$122 (19.3% ROI across 2,514 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$4
-100.0% ROI |
-$35
-100.0% ROI |
+$182
226.1% ROI |
+$203.5
118.7% ROI |
+$58.5
16.5% ROI |
+$175.5
32.7% ROI |
+$121.5
19.3% ROI |
5 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $137.5 | $112.5 | -$25 | 3 | -18.2% |
| 2024 | $183 | $225 | +$42 | 5 | 23.0% |
| 2025 | $182.5 | $37.5 | -$145 | 1 | -79.5% |
| 2026 | $125.5 | $375 | +$249.5 | 7 | 198.8% |