Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 140 total plays 0.8 families/draw
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Dynamic 5-factor walk-forward ridge confluence: plays the #1 multi-factor candidate with >= 3 factor alignment, gated by Cooldown Gate with 10-Draw Cut-Off.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.8 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.19 (0.8 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/12/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0888 | triple | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | Adaptive Confluence (6/5 votes, ★★★★★★, 2.75x boost · Follower, Root 6, Cici Master Quad (5-0-8-2), Shield Safe, Overdue (1495 skips, z=+-0.12), ⚡ Echo Pair (1358)) · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 2414) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 75 | -85.0% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 2 | 1 | 50.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.40% | 1.33% | +0.93% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $25.50 | +$106.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | +$156.25 | +$349.50 | +$193.25 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | 125.0% | 1370.6% | +1245.6% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (3 months walk-forward)
Evaluated across 183 drawings (2026-06-12 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$403 (64.1% ROI across 2,514 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$4
-100.0% ROI |
-$35
-100.0% ROI |
-$80.5
-100.0% ROI |
+$16
9.3% ROI |
+$489.75
138.3% ROI |
+$494.25
92.0% ROI |
+$402.75
64.1% ROI |
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📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $137.5 | $187.5 | +$50 | 1 | 36.4% |
| 2024 | $183 | $93.75 | -$89.25 | 1 | -48.8% |
| 2025 | $182.5 | $562.5 | +$380 | 2 | 208.2% |
| 2026 | $125.5 | $187.5 | +$62 | 1 | 49.4% |