Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 680 total plays 0.9 families/draw
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Plays the #1 historical follower line for up to 10 consecutive drawings straight across all draw times, stopping immediately once a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.23 (0.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/07/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 123 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | followed family 466 1/10x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 664 -> 132 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 609) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 500 | 243 | -51.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 3 | 1 | 33.3% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.60% | 0.41% | -0.19% |
| Capital Invested | $125.00 | $80.75 | +$64.25 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$12.50 | -$43.25 | -$30.75 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -10.0% | -53.6% | -43.6% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 732 drawings (2025-09-05 → 2026-09-05). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-139 (-22.3% ROI across 2,508 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$2.5
-100.0% ROI |
+$4
11.9% ROI |
-$41.5
-52.5% ROI |
-$95
-55.9% ROI |
-$202.5
-57.4% ROI |
-$160.5
-30.0% ROI |
-$139.5
-22.3% ROI |
2 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $137.5 | $112.5 | -$25 | 3 | -18.2% |
| 2024 | $183 | $225 | +$42 | 6 | 23.0% |
| 2025 | $182.5 | $75 | -$107.5 | 2 | -58.9% |
| 2026 | $124 | $75 | -$49 | 2 | -39.5% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
2 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 2)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Midday | 635 | 356 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 170 -> 563 · followed family 089 1/15x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 170) |
| 2026-01-25 | Evening | 183 | 138 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 616 -> 381 · followed family 046 1/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 616) |