Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Overdue 10 (gap vs expectation)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 3,390 total plays 9.3 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Ranks every family by how far past its expected gap it currently is (current skip ÷ expected skip) and plays the 10 most overdue.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Law-of-large-numbers mean-reversion model. Dynamically calculates every family's current skip divided by its theoretical probability-based expected gap (10^d ÷ ways to win). Families with the highest skip-to-expectation ratio are played.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 9.3 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$2.32 (9.3 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/05/2026

Playing 10 families for $2.50 total stake.

066 double 669 double 279 distinct 068 distinct 129 distinct 013 distinct 479 distinct 159 distinct 345 distinct 024 distinct

Family	Type	Selection Reason
066	double	1676.3333333333333 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.03x overdue)
669	double	1676.3333333333333 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (5.03x overdue)
279	distinct	818 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.91x overdue)
068	distinct	790 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.74x overdue)
129	distinct	768 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.61x overdue)
013	distinct	707 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.24x overdue)
479	distinct	690 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.14x overdue)
159	distinct	656 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.94x overdue)
345	distinct	620 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.72x overdue)
024	distinct	605 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.63x overdue)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 366 drawings (2025-09-04 → 2026-09-04). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-470 (-16.2% ROI across 1,163 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$360

Return on Investment -42.5%

Hit Rate 0.29%

Max Drawdown -$-360

Active Drawings 366

Total Plays Placed 3,390

Total Winning Hits 10

Gross Revenue $487.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

10 hits

+$375

double 2x Double ($75.00)

4 hits

+$300

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $847.5

Total Payout (Gross) $487.5

Net Profit / Loss -$360

Final Bankroll $140

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-360.00. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-540.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$10 -100.0% ROI	-$90 -54.5% ROI	-$130 -33.1% ROI	-$360 -42.5% ROI	-$335 -19.0% ROI	-$425 -15.9% ROI	-$470 -16.2% ROI	2 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$462.5	$375	-$87.5	10	-18.9%
2024	$915	$750	-$165	20	-18.0%
2025	$912.5	$937.5	+$25	18	2.7%
2026	$617.5	$375	-$242.5	8	-39.3%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $-40

25-11 $-75

25-12 $-3

26-01 $-78

26-02 $43

26-03 $-78

26-04 $75

26-05 $-78

26-06 $-38

26-07 $-3

26-08 $-78

26-09 $-10

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

007 1 hits 026 1 hits 029 1 hits 033 1 hits 036 1 hits 069 1 hits 136 1 hits 144 1 hits 248 1 hits 349 1 hits 389 1 hits 456 1 hits 468 1 hits 588 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 14)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-07-28	Evening	096	069	distinct	+$37.50	627 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.76x overdue)
2026-07-25	Evening	983	389	distinct	+$37.50	697 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.18x overdue)
2026-06-30	Evening	648	468	distinct	+$37.50	750 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.50x overdue)
2026-04-25	Evening	885	588	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1543.3333333333333 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.63x overdue)
2026-04-18	Evening	330	033	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1536.3333333333333 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.61x overdue)
2026-02-15	Evening	465	456	distinct	+$37.50	629 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.77x overdue)
2026-02-05	Evening	902	029	distinct	+$37.50	832 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.99x overdue)
2026-02-02	Evening	824	248	distinct	+$37.50	934 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.60x overdue)
2025-12-05	Evening	441	144	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1402.3333333333333 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.21x overdue)
2025-10-14	Evening	602	026	distinct	+$37.50	547 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.28x overdue)
2025-09-29	Evening	700	007	double 2x Double	+$75.00	1335.3333333333333 draws since last hit — expected ~333 (4.01x overdue)
2025-09-23	Evening	163	136	distinct	+$37.50	877 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (5.26x overdue)
2025-09-21	Evening	934	349	distinct	+$37.50	591 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (3.55x overdue)
2025-09-06	Evening	063	036	distinct	+$37.50	754 draws since last hit — expected ~167 (4.52x overdue)