Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 288 total plays 0.8 families/draw
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 0.8 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.20 (0.8 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Evening · 09/12/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 367 | distinct | Hold Draw 1 of 10 | Book followed-by: 242 -> 736 · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 437) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 401 | 350 | -12.7% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 1 | 1 | 100.0% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.25% | 0.29% | +0.04% |
| Capital Invested | $100.25 | $117.00 | +$12.75 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$62.75 | -$79.50 | -$16.75 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -62.6% | -67.9% | -5.4% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)
Evaluated across 366 drawings (2025-09-10 → 2026-09-08). Multi-year consistency benchmark: $-47 (-20.2% ROI across 940 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
+$35.5
1775.0% ROI |
+$22.25
145.9% ROI |
+$3
8.7% ROI |
-$34.5
-47.9% ROI |
-$30.75
-21.5% ROI |
-$29.25
-13.5% ROI |
-$47.5
-20.2% ROI |
1 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $37.75 | $0 | -$37.75 | 0 | -100.0% |
| 2024 | $73 | $75 | +$2 | 2 | 2.7% |
| 2025 | $72.25 | $75 | +$2.75 | 2 | 3.8% |
| 2026 | $52 | $37.5 | -$14.5 | 1 | -27.9% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
1 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 1)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Evening | 401 | 014 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 811 -> 410 · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 811) |