Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 2,042 total plays 1.0 families/draw

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Targeted hold: wagers on the #1 follower line only after double or triple draws (+59.6% 1Y ROI).

Execution & Cost Profile

  • Play Sizing: Averages 1.0 boxed families per drawing.
  • Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.25 (1.0 × $0.25).
  • Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
  • Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/13/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 8 of 10
⚡ ACTIVE STRIKE (HOLD 8/10) · $0.25 STAKE (VELOCITY ATTACK)
Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 8 / 10)
1 ✓ Past
2 ✓ Past
3 ✓ Past
4 ✓ Past
5 ✓ Past
6 ✓ Past
7 ✓ Past
8 ▶ ACTIVE
9 $0.25
10 $0.00
Trigger Drawing
#933
Midday (2026-09-09)
Cumulative Stake Invested
$2.00
$0.25/draw × 8 draws
Payout if Dropped Now
$37.50
Stops immediately on drop
Net Profit if Dropped Now
+$35.50
Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

478 distinct
FamilyTypeCurrent StatusSelection Reason
478 distinct Hold Draw 8 of 10 Book followed-by: 919 -> 874 · followed family 028 1/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 933)
⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: A Archetype: REGIME SPECIALIST
Ticket Waste Index: 111.9%

Quantitative Diagnostic: High Efficiency: Strong ROI lift with significant ticket cost reduction.

Dimension / Metric Standard Baseline ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed 402 30 -92.5% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured 3 1 33.3% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency 0.75% 3.33% +2.59%
Capital Invested $100.50 $9.50 +$93.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss +$12.00 +$28.00 +$16.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI) 11.9% 294.7% +282.8% ROI Lift
🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model
Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution
Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)
Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)
Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (All-Time walk-forward)

Full Archive History

Evaluated across 2,514 drawings (2023-04-01 → 2026-09-08).

Net Profit -$60.5
Return on Investment -11.8%
Hit Rate 0.59%
Max Drawdown -$-96.5
Active Drawings 2,042
Total Plays Placed 2,042
Total Winning Hits 12
Gross Revenue $450
💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)
distinct Base ($37.50)
12 hits
+$450

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Total Staked (Cost) $510.5
Total Payout (Gross) $450
Net Profit / Loss -$60.5
Final Bankroll $439.5
Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-96.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-144.
🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M 3M 6M 1Y ★ 2Y 3Y All Time Profitable Months
-$0.25
-100.0% ROI
-$28
-100.0% ROI
-$27
-41.9% ROI
+$14.75
10.9% ROI
-$22
-7.7% ROI
+$17.25
4.0% ROI
-$60.5
-11.8% ROI
3 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

YearCostGrossNet ProfitHitsROI
2023 $114.5 $37.5 -$77 1 -67.2%
2024 $149 $225 +$76 6 51.0%
2025 $146.5 $75 -$71.5 2 -48.8%
2026 $100.5 $112.5 +$12 3 11.9%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

23-04 $-13
23-05 $-13
23-06 $-13
23-07 $-13
23-08 $-13
23-09 $-13
23-10 $-12
23-11 $25
23-12 $-13
24-01 $25
24-02 $-11
24-03 $28
24-04 $-13
24-05 $-13
24-06 $-14
24-07 $25
24-08 $-13
24-09 $25
24-10 $24
24-11 $27
24-12 $-13
25-01 $-15
25-02 $-12
25-03 $-14
25-04 $28
25-05 $-12
25-06 $-14
25-07 $-14
25-08 $-13
25-09 $-11
25-10 $27
25-11 $-12
25-12 $-12
26-01 $-12
26-02 $64
26-03 $-13
26-04 $27
26-05 $-12
26-06 $-14
26-07 $-15
26-08 $-13
26-09 $-0

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

12 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop
Draw 5.9
Out of 10 max steps
Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)
25.0%
3 of 12 drops
Peak Drop Draw
Draw 7
3 drops landed here
Stop-on-Drop Discipline
Early Exit
Terminates upon drop
Draw 1 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 2 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 3 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 4 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 5 2 drops (16.7%)
Draw 6 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 7 ★ 3 drops (25.0%)
Draw 8 1 drops (8.3%)
Draw 9 0 drops (0.0%)
Draw 10 2 drops (16.7%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

014 1 hits 045 1 hits 047 1 hits 126 1 hits 136 1 hits 137 1 hits 178 1 hits 248 1 hits 256 1 hits 346 1 hits 349 1 hits 458 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 12)

DateDrawNumberFamilyPattern TypePayoutTrigger Reason
2026-04-21 Evening 074 047 distinct +$37.50 followed number 882 1/3x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 882 -> 047 · Hold Draw 8 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 882)
2026-02-05 Evening 361 136 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 292 -> 631 · followed family 159 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 1 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 292)
2026-02-03 Midday 187 178 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 377 -> 781 · followed family 459 2/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 377)
2025-10-28 Midday 845 458 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 033 -> 854 · followed family 015 1/13x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 033)
2025-04-15 Midday 364 346 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 119 -> 346 · followed family 234 2/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 119)
2024-11-06 Evening 934 349 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 885 -> 349 · followed family 235 1/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 885)
2024-10-26 Evening 824 248 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 336 -> 284 · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 336)
2024-09-17 Evening 104 014 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 811 -> 410 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 811)
2024-07-24 Midday 216 126 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 988 -> 126 · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 988)
2024-03-29 Midday 450 045 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 050 -> 405 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 050)
2024-01-08 Evening 317 137 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 114 -> 173 · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 114)
2023-11-21 Evening 265 256 distinct +$37.50 Book followed-by: 220 -> 526 · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 220)