Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report
Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)
Dynamic Walk-Forward 710 total plays 3.9 families/draw
Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
🧠 How this strategy works
Methodology & Selection Logic
Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.
Execution & Cost Profile
- Play Sizing: Averages 3.9 boxed families per drawing.
- Cost per Active Draw: ~$0.96 (3.9 × $0.25).
- Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
- Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.
🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/10/2026
Active numbers in this hold cycle:
| Family | Type | Current Status | Selection Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 178 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | followed number 836 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 3/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345) |
| 233 | double | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | followed number 836 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 3/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345) |
| 034 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | followed number 836 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345) |
| 159 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | followed number 836 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345) |
| 158 | distinct | Hold Draw 10 of 10 | followed number 836 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 1/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345) |
Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.
| Dimension / Metric | Standard Baseline | ⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized | Variance & Capital Lift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays Placed | 2,460 | 678 | -72.4% wagers eliminated |
| Winning Hits Captured | 9 | 1 | 11.1% hits retained |
| Hit Rate Efficiency | 0.37% | 0.15% | -0.22% |
| Capital Invested | $615.00 | $226.50 | +$408.00 saved |
| Net Profit / Loss | -$165.00 | -$189.00 | -$24.00 turnaround |
| Return on Investment (ROI) | -26.8% | -83.4% | -56.6% ROI Lift |
📊 Key performance metrics (3 months walk-forward)
Evaluated across 184 drawings (2026-06-10 → 2026-09-09). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$38 (1.7% ROI across 2,516 all-time draws).
💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator
Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.
⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency
How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.
| 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y ★ | 2Y | 3Y | All Time | Profitable Months |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
-$22.5
-100.0% ROI |
+$85
47.9% ROI |
-$20
-5.1% ROI |
-$95
-11.8% ROI |
-$33
-2.1% ROI |
+$93.75
4.6% ROI |
+$37.75
1.7% ROI |
2 / 12 |
📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown
Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.
| Year | Cost | Gross | Net Profit | Hits | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $272 | $187.5 | -$84.5 | 5 | -31.1% |
| 2024 | $567.75 | $825 | +$257.25 | 19 | 45.3% |
| 2025 | $777.5 | $750 | -$27.5 | 18 | -3.5% |
| 2026 | $595 | $487.5 | -$107.5 | 10 | -18.1% |
📈 Monthly profit & loss history
🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)
4 Documented Drops in BacktestDistribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.
💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.
🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy
Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.
🎯 Recent winning hits (last 4)
| Date | Draw | Number | Family | Pattern Type | Payout | Trigger Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Evening | 476 | 467 | distinct | +$37.50 | Book followed-by: 083 -> 746 · followed number 475 2/7x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 083) |
| 2026-07-26 | Evening | 663 | 366 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | followed number 323 2/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 355) |
| 2026-07-18 | Evening | 800 | 008 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | followed family 001 2/10x within 10 draws · followed family 456 1/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 100) |
| 2026-07-01 | Midday | 133 | 133 | double 2x Double | +$75.00 | followed number 639 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 369 3/17x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 639) |