Dashboard · Performance · Strategy Scouting Report

Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio)

Dynamic Walk-Forward 3,230 total plays 4.4 families/draw

Switch Strategy:

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Time Window: 6 months ★ 1 year (Sweet Spot) 2 years 3 years 5 years All time (Full History) · 1m 3m

Draw Time: All Draws ☀️ Midday 🌆 Evening

🧠 How this strategy works

Methodology & Selection Logic

Wide coverage portfolio hold: plays the top 5 historical follower lines for up to 10 drawings straight until a drop occurs to lock in net profit.

Execution & Cost Profile

Play Sizing: Averages 4.4 boxed families per drawing.
Cost per Active Draw: ~$1.10 (4.4 × $0.25).
Settlement: Every play is settled against actual historical drawings without lookahead bias.
Trigger Behavior: Re-evaluated before every drawing based strictly on past occurrences.

🎯 Next draw plays — Midday · 09/10/2026

⚡ ACTIVE HOLD CYCLE Hold Draw 10 of 10

🛑 10-DRAW CUT-OFF · $0.00 SIT OUT / DO NOT PLAY

Hold Progress Rail: Option A · Velocity Front-Loaded (Draw 10 / 10)

Protocol: VELOCITY ATTACK TROUGH SKIP CONSERVATIVE BRAKE OPTIMIZED WAVE DYNAMIC BRAKE

1 ✓ Past

2 ✓ Past

3 ✓ Past

4 ✓ Past

5 ✓ Past

6 ✓ Past

7 ✓ Past

8 ✓ Past

9 ✓ Past

10 🛑 SIT OUT

Trigger Drawing

#345

Midday (2026-09-05)

Cumulative Stake Invested

$12.50

$1.25/draw × 10 draws

Payout if Dropped Now

$37.50 (Distinct) · $75.00 (Double)

Stops immediately on drop

Net Profit if Dropped Now

+$25.00

Gross payout minus cumulative stake

Active numbers in this hold cycle:

178 distinct 233 double 034 distinct 159 distinct 158 distinct

Family	Type	Current Status	Selection Reason
178	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed number 836 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 3/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345)
233	double	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed number 836 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 3/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345)
034	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed number 836 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345)
159	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed number 836 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 2/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345)
158	distinct	Hold Draw 10 of 10	followed number 836 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 368 1/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 345)

⚡ STRATEGY EFFICIENCY & CAPITAL OPTIMIZATION TERMINAL Efficiency Grade: F Archetype: PRECISION CHASER

Ticket Waste Index: 98.2%

Quantitative Diagnostic: Severe Inefficiency: High ticket burn with weak conversion. Recommend switching to Top-1 chase or post-double regime.

Dimension / Metric	Standard Baseline	⚡ High-Efficiency Optimized	Variance & Capital Lift
Total Plays Placed	2,460	678	-72.4% wagers eliminated
Winning Hits Captured	9	1	11.1% hits retained
Hit Rate Efficiency	0.37%	0.15%	-0.22%
Capital Invested	$615.00	$226.50	+$408.00 saved
Net Profit / Loss	-$165.00	-$189.00	-$24.00 turnaround
Return on Investment (ROI)	-26.8%	-83.4%	-56.6% ROI Lift

🛡️ Tailored Optimization Rules Applied to this Model

Top-K Concentration: Capped at top lines to eliminate dilution

Anti-Repeat Shield: 15-draw trailing blackout (< 0.08% repeat rate)

Wave Sizing & Trough Protection: $0.50 Wave 1 / $0.00 Dead Zone (Draws 4–6)

Draw 10 Zero Exposure Mandate: 🛑 $0.00 Sit Out on Step 10 (Terminal Hard-Stop)

📊 Key performance metrics (1 year walk-forward)

★ Sweet Spot Window

Evaluated across 732 drawings (2025-09-09 → 2026-09-09). Multi-year consistency benchmark: +$38 (1.7% ROI across 2,516 all-time draws).

Net Profit -$95

Return on Investment -11.8%

Hit Rate 0.46%

Max Drawdown -$-262.5

Active Drawings 732

Total Plays Placed 3,230

Total Winning Hits 15

Gross Revenue $712.5

💰 Audited Prize Payouts & Hits by Pattern Kind Dynamic Accounting: Doubles pay 2× ($75.00) · Triples pay 6× ($225.00)

distinct Base ($37.50)

12 hits

+$450

double 2x Double ($75.00)

4 hits

+$300

💼 Bankroll & Staking Simulator

Test how this strategy would have performed with different stake sizes and starting bankrolls, based on the actual historical walk-forward results.

Stake per family per drawing:

Starting Bankroll ($):

Total Staked (Cost) $807.5

Total Payout (Gross) $712.5

Net Profit / Loss -$95

Final Bankroll $405

Max historical drawdown scaled to selected stake: -$-262.50. Recommended minimum bankroll to withstand historical drawdowns: $-393.

🛡️ 1% Bankroll Rule Check: Professional risk sizing says no single draw should ever risk >1% of your bankroll.

⏱ Trailing window performance & consistency

How this strategy performed across each standard lookback window, plus profitable months out of the trailing 12. Compare short-term sweet spots against multi-year consistency.

1M	3M	6M	1Y ★	2Y	3Y	All Time	Profitable Months
-$22.5 -100.0% ROI	+$85 47.9% ROI	-$20 -5.1% ROI	-$95 -11.8% ROI	-$33 -2.1% ROI	+$93.75 4.6% ROI	+$37.75 1.7% ROI	2 / 12

📅 Year-by-year consistency breakdown

Annual profit & loss consistency across every calendar year in the archive.

Year	Cost	Gross	Net Profit	Hits	ROI
2023	$272	$187.5	-$84.5	5	-31.1%
2024	$567.75	$825	+$257.25	19	45.3%
2025	$777.5	$750	-$27.5	18	-3.5%
2026	$595	$487.5	-$107.5	10	-18.1%

📈 Monthly profit & loss history

25-10 $83

25-11 $-68

25-12 $-3

26-01 $-23

26-02 $-25

26-03 $-40

26-04 $-38

26-05 $-68

26-06 $0

26-07 $148

26-08 $-40

26-09 $-23

🎯 Historical Drop Distribution (Which draw do drops land on?)

16 Documented Drops in Backtest

Distribution of winning drops across the 10-draw hold window. Shorter holds lock in higher net profit by minimizing wager accumulation.

Average Draw to Drop

Draw 5.7

Out of 10 max steps

Early Strike Rate (Draws 1–3)

31.3%

5 of 16 drops

Peak Drop Draw

Draw 3

4 drops landed here

Stop-on-Drop Discipline

Early Exit

Terminates upon drop

Draw 1 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 2 1 drops (6.3%)

Draw 3 ★ 4 drops (25.0%)

Draw 4 1 drops (6.3%)

Draw 5 3 drops (18.8%)

Draw 6 2 drops (12.5%)

Draw 7 1 drops (6.3%)

Draw 8 0 drops (0.0%)

Draw 9 1 drops (6.3%)

Draw 10 3 drops (18.8%)

💡 How to Read This Chart: In stop-on-drop holding, every draw a number takes to drop costs an additional $0.25 per family. Drops landing on Draws 1 through 3 yield maximum profit margin ($35.00+ net on a $37.50 distinct payout). If a candidate reaches the Draw 10 Cut-Off without dropping, the hold expires to prevent runaway drawdown.

🏆 Most-hit families in this strategy

Families that generated the highest number of winning hits when played by this strategy.

003 1 hits 008 1 hits 036 1 hits 048 1 hits 126 1 hits 133 1 hits 137 1 hits 139 1 hits 156 1 hits 159 1 hits 167 1 hits 235 1 hits 279 1 hits 366 1 hits 467 1 hits 568 1 hits

🎯 Recent winning hits (last 16)

Date	Draw	Number	Family	Pattern Type	Payout	Trigger Reason
2026-08-26	Evening	476	467	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 083 -> 746 · followed number 475 2/7x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 2 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 083)
2026-07-26	Evening	663	366	double 2x Double	+$75.00	followed number 323 2/4x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 355)
2026-07-18	Evening	800	008	double 2x Double	+$75.00	followed family 001 2/10x within 10 draws · followed family 456 1/10x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 100)
2026-07-01	Midday	133	133	double 2x Double	+$75.00	followed number 639 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 369 3/17x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 639)
2026-06-09	Evening	523	235	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 713 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 137 3/18x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 713)
2026-06-02	Midday	621	126	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 234 4/12x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 324)
2026-04-26	Evening	630	036	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 147 3/17x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 714)
2026-03-26	Midday	048	048	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 381 1/5x within 10 draws · followed family 138 1/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 9 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 381)
2026-02-04	Evening	951	159	distinct	+$37.50	Book followed-by: 550 -> 591 · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 550)
2026-01-10	Evening	173	137	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 728 1/3x within 10 draws · followed family 278 3/14x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 7 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 728)
2025-12-18	Midday	561	156	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 853 2/3x within 10 draws · followed family 358 3/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 323)
2025-12-03	Midday	729	279	distinct	+$37.50	followed number 988 2/7x within 10 draws · followed family 889 3/11x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 10 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 988)
2025-10-24	Midday	617	167	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 158 4/16x within 10 draws · Hold Draw 5 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 499)
2025-10-11	Evening	568	568	distinct	+$37.50	Pro-Zo relative: 658 · Hold Draw 6 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 478)
2025-10-03	Evening	300	003	double 2x Double	+$75.00	Pro-Zo relative: 030 · Hold Draw 3 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 120)
2025-09-27	Midday	319	139	distinct	+$37.50	followed family 045 2/13x within 10 draws · Book followed-by: 540 -> 139 · Hold Draw 4 of 10 (Stop-on-Drop for trigger 540)