Walk-forward strategy performance
Every strategy was re-run draw by draw across the 732 archive drawings (2025-09-06 → 2026-09-06) using only prior data — no lookahead. ★ Recommended Sweet Spot: 1-Year Cycle Payout table at $0.25 per family per drawing: distinct $93.75 / double $187.50 / two-double $375.00 / triple $562.50 / quadruple $2250.00 / .
What "plays" means. One play = one $0.25 bet on one boxed family for one drawing.
Total plays = families played per drawing × drawings — e.g. a strategy that plays
0 families every drawing across
732 drawings accumulates
196 plays.
Every single play is settled against an actual archived drawing, and every hit is listed with its date in each
strategy's detail below — nothing here is estimated or modeled.
⚡ Quick Sort:
💡 Click any column header to sort
| Strategy | Families/draw | Drawings | Total plays | Hits | Hit rate | Cost | Gross | Net | ROI | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.3 | 732 | 196 | 0 | 0.00% | $49 | $0 | $-49 | -100.0% | $-49 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | 1.3 | 732 | 950 | 2 | 0.21% | $237.5 | $281.25 | $43.75 | 18.4% | $-130 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | 0.2 | 732 | 135 | 0 | 0.00% | $33.75 | $0 | $-33.75 | -100.0% | $-33.75 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.2 | 732 | 870 | 1 | 0.11% | $217.5 | $93.75 | $-123.75 | -56.9% | $-196 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 1.5 | 732 | 1,113 | 1 | 0.09% | $278.25 | $93.75 | $-184.5 | -66.3% | $-253.5 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | 0.3 | 732 | 256 | 0 | 0.00% | $64 | $0 | $-64 | -100.0% | $-64 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 682 | 1 | 0.15% | $170.5 | $187.5 | $17 | 10.0% | $-121.5 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | 2.8 | 732 | 2,046 | 2 | 0.10% | $511.5 | $281.25 | $-230.25 | -45.0% | $-318 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | 7.5 | 732 | 5,456 | 2 | 0.04% | $1,364 | $375 | $-989 | -72.5% | $-989 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | 7.5 | 732 | 5,456 | 6 | 0.11% | $1,364 | $1,031.25 | $-332.75 | -24.4% | $-416.5 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | 7.5 | 732 | 5,456 | 2 | 0.04% | $1,364 | $375 | $-989 | -72.5% | $-989 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | 4.7 | 732 | 3,410 | 1 | 0.03% | $852.5 | $187.5 | $-665 | -78.0% | $-665 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | 0.9 | 732 | 677 | 1 | 0.15% | $169.25 | $93.75 | $-75.5 | -44.6% | $-90.5 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | 7.5 | 732 | 5,456 | 6 | 0.11% | $1,364 | $843.75 | $-520.25 | -38.1% | $-630.25 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 682 | 1 | 0.15% | $170.5 | $187.5 | $17 | 10.0% | $-106 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | 0.9 | 732 | 682 | 1 | 0.15% | $170.5 | $93.75 | $-76.75 | -45.0% | $-140 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | 0.5 | 732 | 341 | 1 | 0.29% | $85.25 | $93.75 | $8.5 | 10.0% | $-53 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | 0.2 | 732 | 165 | 0 | 0.00% | $41.25 | $0 | $-41.25 | -100.0% | $-41.25 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | 0.3 | 732 | 240 | 1 | 0.42% | $60 | $187.5 | $127.5 | 212.5% | $-57.5 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,820 | 11 | 0.16% | $1,705 | $1,031.25 | $-673.75 | -39.5% | $-770 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | 16.8 | 732 | 12,276 | 14 | 0.11% | $3,069 | $2,625 | $-444 | -14.5% | $-868.5 |
| Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,820 | 1 | 0.01% | $1,705 | $2,250 | $545 | 32.0% | $-1,520 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,820 | 8 | 0.12% | $1,705 | $1,031.25 | $-673.75 | -39.5% | $-802.5 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | 16.8 | 732 | 12,276 | 7 | 0.06% | $3,069 | $1,593.75 | $-1,475.25 | -48.1% | $-1,488.75 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,820 | 6 | 0.09% | $1,705 | $1,875 | $170 | 10.0% | $-685 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | 9.3 | 732 | 6,820 | 6 | 0.09% | $1,705 | $1,875 | $170 | 10.0% | $-685 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | 4.7 | 732 | 3,410 | 4 | 0.12% | $852.5 | $375 | $-477.5 | -56.0% | $-495 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | 195.7 | 732 | 143,220 | 361 | 0.25% | $35,805 | $33,843.75 | $-1,961.25 | -5.5% | $-1,987.5 |
Window summary.
8 of 28 strategies finished positive in this window.
· Highest Capital ROI: Followed-By (empirical top 5) (+212.5% ROI, net +$127.50)
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) +$545.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$170.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$170.00
Top Net Dollars: Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) +$545.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) +$170.00 · Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) +$170.00
Performance matrix — net by trailing window (all strategies)
Each cell is a strategy's net over the trailing calendar window, from the full-archive run — green means the strategy made money in that window, red means it lost. The last column counts how many of the last 12 active months were profitable.
| Strategy | 1M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 2Y | 3Y | All time | Positive months (12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 3 Portfolio) | -$9 | -$8 | +$43 | -$230 | -$215 | +$830 | +$1,774 | 2/12 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 5 Portfolio) | -$8 | -$83 | -$66 | +$44 | +$348 | +$348 | +$348 | 2/10 |
| Followed-By (empirical top 5) | -$3 | -$25 | -$44 | +$128 | +$113 | +$113 | +$113 | 1/10 |
| Pickstics Adaptive Confluence (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$3 | -$34 | +$108 | +$17 | +$22 | -$67 | +$29 | 1/12 |
| Pickstics Follower · Post-Double Phase Hold (Top 1) | -$2 | -$16 | -$29 | -$34 | -$41 | -$41 | -$41 | 0/7 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower (10-Draw Hold - Top 1) | -$2 | -$17 | -$34 | -$49 | -$64 | -$64 | -$64 | 0/10 |
| Pickstics Empirical Follower · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$2 | -$29 | -$49 | -$64 | -$79 | -$79 | -$79 | 0/10 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 90d window) | -$30 | +$598 | +$518 | +$170 | +$970 | +$265 | -$88 | 4/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Echo (Midday ➔ Night) | -$2 | -$17 | +$54 | +$9 | +$11 | -$81 | -$126 | 1/12 |
| ⚡ Cici's Intra-Day Double Echo (Midday ➔ Night Double Hold) | -$1 | -$9 | -$20 | -$41 | -$86 | -$134 | -$153 | 0/12 |
| RB9 Math · Date-Harmony Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$34 | +$108 | +$17 | +$116 | -$67 | -$159 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math · Law of Large Numbers Deficit Hold (Top 1) | -$3 | -$34 | -$80 | -$77 | -$259 | -$67 | -$159 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rapid 3-Draw Hold Ladder | -$3 | +$49 | -$6 | -$124 | -$168 | -$311 | -$400 | 1/12 |
| Cici's Smart-Gated 10-Draw Hold (Cooldown Gate) | -$3 | -$34 | +$15 | -$76 | -$258 | -$440 | -$532 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity · Rolling 10-Draw Hold Ladder | -$3 | +$39 | -$31 | -$185 | -$293 | -$499 | -$615 | 1/12 |
| RB9 Math (Date-Harmony · Top 8) | -$24 | -$85 | -$74 | -$520 | -$762 | -$726 | -$708 | 4/12 |
| Calendar Year Top-5 | -$15 | -$76 | -$210 | -$478 | -$359 | -$899 | -$888 | 4/12 |
| Cici Confluence Engine (Top 5 Flat) | -$15 | -$170 | -$398 | -$665 | -$1,109 | -$805 | -$981 | 1/12 |
| Carryover Mixed-Parity Momentum (top 10) | -$30 | +$129 | -$45 | -$674 | -$999 | -$954 | -$1,081 | 2/12 |
| Cici's High-Accuracy (90%+) Rules Engine | -$24 | -$178 | -$167 | -$333 | -$855 | -$913 | -$1,176 | 4/12 |
| Cici's Above-50% Rules Engine | -$24 | -$272 | -$449 | -$989 | -$1,699 | -$1,194 | -$1,176 | 2/12 |
| Profit Leaders (top 10, 180d window) | -$30 | +$598 | +$330 | +$170 | -$343 | -$860 | -$1,213 | 4/12 |
| Hot Families (top 10) | +$64 | -$153 | -$326 | -$674 | -$530 | -$1,048 | -$1,306 | 3/12 |
| Cici's Rules Engine | -$24 | -$272 | -$449 | -$989 | -$1,699 | -$1,194 | -$1,645 | 2/12 |
| Hot doubles (top 18) | -$54 | -$237 | -$869 | -$444 | -$2,229 | -$2,711 | -$2,670 | 3/12 |
| Pure Matches: Quads (All 10) | -$30 | +$1,910 | +$1,455 | +$545 | -$1,280 | -$3,110 | -$4,025 | 1/12 |
| Profit Persisters (top 18, 1y window) | -$54 | -$237 | -$1,056 | -$1,475 | -$3,542 | -$3,461 | -$4,264 | 2/12 |
| Baseline: All 252 Distinct Boxes | -$161 | -$765 | -$1,601 | -$1,961 | -$6,161 | -$11,404 | -$11,588 | 3/12 |